Recent polling in Saxony-Anhalt consistently places the AfD at 42-43% ahead of the 6 September 2026 Landtag election, with the CDU at 22-23%, Die Linke at 13%, and smaller parties (SPD, Greens, BSW, FDP) clustered near or below the 5% threshold. Under the state's mixed-member proportional system for 83 seats, this support level typically yields the AfD 38-42 seats when multiple minor parties clear the threshold, while failures by those parties concentrate additional seats with the AfD. Campaigns urging tactical votes for centrist and left-leaning options have gained attention in the final weeks as a potential check on further AfD gains. The party's eastern branch remains classified as right-wing extremist by state intelligence, though this has not altered current vote intention trends. Trader pricing for the 38-41 seat band reflects the narrow band between baseline projections and modest threshold effects that could push results slightly higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated38-41 59%
42-45 32%
46-49 7%
34-37 3.5%
$25,048 Vol.
$25,048 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<34
2%
34-37
3%
38-41
59%
42-45
32%
46-49
7%
50+
1%
38-41 59%
42-45 32%
46-49 7%
34-37 3.5%
$25,048 Vol.
$25,048 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<34
$3,734 Vol.
2%
34-37
$5,212 Vol.
3%
38-41
$5,419 Vol.
59%
42-45
$4,739 Vol.
32%
46-49
$3,060 Vol.
7%
50+
$2,883 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling in Saxony-Anhalt consistently places the AfD at 42-43% ahead of the 6 September 2026 Landtag election, with the CDU at 22-23%, Die Linke at 13%, and smaller parties (SPD, Greens, BSW, FDP) clustered near or below the 5% threshold. Under the state's mixed-member proportional system for 83 seats, this support level typically yields the AfD 38-42 seats when multiple minor parties clear the threshold, while failures by those parties concentrate additional seats with the AfD. Campaigns urging tactical votes for centrist and left-leaning options have gained attention in the final weeks as a potential check on further AfD gains. The party's eastern branch remains classified as right-wing extremist by state intelligence, though this has not altered current vote intention trends. Trader pricing for the 38-41 seat band reflects the narrow band between baseline projections and modest threshold effects that could push results slightly higher.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ET
Volume
$25,048End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling in Saxony-Anhalt consistently places the AfD at 42-43% ahead of the 6 September 2026 Landtag election, with the CDU at 22-23%, Die Linke at 13%, and smaller parties (SPD, Greens, BSW, FDP) clustered near or below the 5% threshold. Under the state's mixed-member proportional system for 83 seats, this support level typically yields the AfD 38-42 seats when multiple minor parties clear the threshold, while failures by those parties concentrate additional seats with the AfD. Campaigns urging tactical votes for centrist and left-leaning options have gained attention in the final weeks as a potential check on further AfD gains. The party's eastern branch remains classified as right-wing extremist by state intelligence, though this has not altered current vote intention trends. Trader pricing for the 38-41 seat band reflects the narrow band between baseline projections and modest threshold effects that could push results slightly higher.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$25,048End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Saxony-Anhalt consistently places the AfD at 42-43% ahead of the 6 September 2026 Landtag election, with the CDU at 22-23%, Die Linke at 13%, and smaller parties (SPD, Greens, BSW, FDP) clustered near or below the 5% threshold. Under the state's mixed-member proportional system for 83 seats, this support level typically yields the AfD 38-42 seats when multiple minor parties clear the threshold, while failures by those parties concentrate additional seats with the AfD. Campaigns urging tactical votes for centrist and left-leaning options have gained attention in the final weeks as a potential check on further AfD gains. The party's eastern branch remains classified as right-wing extremist by state intelligence, though this has not altered current vote intention trends. Trader pricing for the 38-41 seat band reflects the narrow band between baseline projections and modest threshold effects that could push results slightly higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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