Recent polls ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election show a fragmented race with Linke leading at 19–22 percent, followed closely by CDU and AfD near 18 percent, Grüne around 16 percent, and SPD at 12 percent. The Grüne’s positioning for fourth place reflects consistent mid-tier support amid volatility, including the CDU’s mid-campaign switch to candidate Stefan Evers after Kai Wegner’s withdrawal. Voter priorities on housing, security, and transport, combined with uncertain coalition math and the five-percent threshold dynamics, keep the order for lower placements fluid. Late shifts in turnout or minor-party consolidation could alter fourth-place probabilities before election night.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGrüne 45%
Linke 19%
AfD 13%
CDU 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
Grüne
45%
Linke
19%
AfD
13%
CDU
15%
SPD
7%
FDP
5%
BSW
4%
FW
3%
Grüne 45%
Linke 19%
AfD 13%
CDU 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
Grüne
$2,724 Vol.
45%
Linke
$183 Vol.
19%
AfD
$36 Vol.
13%
CDU
$56 Vol.
15%
SPD
$36 Vol.
7%
FDP
$99 Vol.
5%
BSW
$51 Vol.
4%
FW
$84 Vol.
3%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election show a fragmented race with Linke leading at 19–22 percent, followed closely by CDU and AfD near 18 percent, Grüne around 16 percent, and SPD at 12 percent. The Grüne’s positioning for fourth place reflects consistent mid-tier support amid volatility, including the CDU’s mid-campaign switch to candidate Stefan Evers after Kai Wegner’s withdrawal. Voter priorities on housing, security, and transport, combined with uncertain coalition math and the five-percent threshold dynamics, keep the order for lower placements fluid. Late shifts in turnout or minor-party consolidation could alter fourth-place probabilities before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Volume
$3,267End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election show a fragmented race with Linke leading at 19–22 percent, followed closely by CDU and AfD near 18 percent, Grüne around 16 percent, and SPD at 12 percent. The Grüne’s positioning for fourth place reflects consistent mid-tier support amid volatility, including the CDU’s mid-campaign switch to candidate Stefan Evers after Kai Wegner’s withdrawal. Voter priorities on housing, security, and transport, combined with uncertain coalition math and the five-percent threshold dynamics, keep the order for lower placements fluid. Late shifts in turnout or minor-party consolidation could alter fourth-place probabilities before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Volume
$3,267End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election show a fragmented race with Linke leading at 19–22 percent, followed closely by CDU and AfD near 18 percent, Grüne around 16 percent, and SPD at 12 percent. The Grüne’s positioning for fourth place reflects consistent mid-tier support amid volatility, including the CDU’s mid-campaign switch to candidate Stefan Evers after Kai Wegner’s withdrawal. Voter priorities on housing, security, and transport, combined with uncertain coalition math and the five-percent threshold dynamics, keep the order for lower placements fluid. Late shifts in turnout or minor-party consolidation could alter fourth-place probabilities before election night.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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