Elif Eralp of Die Linke leads the market at 72.5% implied probability ahead of Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election, as recent Forsa and Infratest dimap surveys place her party first at roughly 22%, ahead of the CDU and AfD near 18%. Her focus on housing affordability and cost-of-living issues aligns with voter priorities in a fragmented field where coalition arithmetic favors a left-leaning alliance. Incumbent Kai Wegner’s July withdrawal after criticism of his January blackout response shifted the CDU to finance senator Stefan Evers, now at 21.5%, with his party trailing in polls. Lower-priced candidates such as Werner Graf of the Greens, Steffen Krach of the SPD, and Kristin Brinker of the AfD reflect their parties’ weaker positioning and limited paths to the governing mayor post under current polling trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNext Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Elif Eralp 73%
Stefan Evers 22%
Werner Graf 5.5%
Steffen Krach 2.7%
$37,735 Vol.
$37,735 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
Elif Eralp
73%
Stefan Evers
22%
Werner Graf
6%
Steffen Krach
3%
Kristin Brinker
<1%
Elif Eralp 73%
Stefan Evers 22%
Werner Graf 5.5%
Steffen Krach 2.7%
$37,735 Vol.
$37,735 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
Elif Eralp
$15,444 Vol.
73%
Stefan Evers
$12,420 Vol.
22%
Werner Graf
$6,506 Vol.
6%
Steffen Krach
$1,313 Vol.
3%
Kristin Brinker
$2,051 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elif Eralp of Die Linke leads the market at 72.5% implied probability ahead of Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election, as recent Forsa and Infratest dimap surveys place her party first at roughly 22%, ahead of the CDU and AfD near 18%. Her focus on housing affordability and cost-of-living issues aligns with voter priorities in a fragmented field where coalition arithmetic favors a left-leaning alliance. Incumbent Kai Wegner’s July withdrawal after criticism of his January blackout response shifted the CDU to finance senator Stefan Evers, now at 21.5%, with his party trailing in polls. Lower-priced candidates such as Werner Graf of the Greens, Steffen Krach of the SPD, and Kristin Brinker of the AfD reflect their parties’ weaker positioning and limited paths to the governing mayor post under current polling trends.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET
Volume
$37,735End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elif Eralp of Die Linke leads the market at 72.5% implied probability ahead of Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election, as recent Forsa and Infratest dimap surveys place her party first at roughly 22%, ahead of the CDU and AfD near 18%. Her focus on housing affordability and cost-of-living issues aligns with voter priorities in a fragmented field where coalition arithmetic favors a left-leaning alliance. Incumbent Kai Wegner’s July withdrawal after criticism of his January blackout response shifted the CDU to finance senator Stefan Evers, now at 21.5%, with his party trailing in polls. Lower-priced candidates such as Werner Graf of the Greens, Steffen Krach of the SPD, and Kristin Brinker of the AfD reflect their parties’ weaker positioning and limited paths to the governing mayor post under current polling trends.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$37,735End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elif Eralp of Die Linke leads the market at 72.5% implied probability ahead of Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election, as recent Forsa and Infratest dimap surveys place her party first at roughly 22%, ahead of the CDU and AfD near 18%. Her focus on housing affordability and cost-of-living issues aligns with voter priorities in a fragmented field where coalition arithmetic favors a left-leaning alliance. Incumbent Kai Wegner’s July withdrawal after criticism of his January blackout response shifted the CDU to finance senator Stefan Evers, now at 21.5%, with his party trailing in polls. Lower-priced candidates such as Werner Graf of the Greens, Steffen Krach of the SPD, and Kristin Brinker of the AfD reflect their parties’ weaker positioning and limited paths to the governing mayor post under current polling trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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