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icon for Mordovia Parliament Election: Party Winner
Politics·Russia

Mordovia Parliament Election: Party Winner

icon for Mordovia Parliament Election: Party Winner
Politics·Russia

Mordovia Parliament Election: Party Winner

United Russia 95.3%

New People 2.9%

LDPR <1%

CPRF <1%

Polymarket
NEW

United Russia 95.3%

New People 2.9%

LDPR <1%

CPRF <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for United Russia

United Russia

$4,328 Vol.

95%

icon for New People

New People

$488 Vol.

3%

icon for LDPR

LDPR

$421 Vol.

1%

icon for CPRF

CPRF

$336 Vol.

<1%

icon for A Just Russia

A Just Russia

$256 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the State Assembly of Mordovia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the State Assembly of Mordovia as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the State Assembly of Mordovia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Mordovia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Mordovia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the Mordovia State Assembly election scheduled for September 18–20, 2026, reflecting its consistent dominance in the republic’s mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-mandate districts. The party secured 42 of 48 seats in 2021 and 45 in 2016, with candidates registered across all 24 single-member constituencies for the upcoming vote. Incumbent regional head Artyom Zdunov’s alignment with the party reinforces institutional continuity amid concurrent federal and regional contests. Trader consensus prices other parties, including CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People, near zero due to structural barriers and limited competitive space. Late developments capable of altering outcomes remain narrow, such as unforeseen registration issues or turnout anomalies, though historical patterns indicate low probability.

Parliamentary elections to elect the State Assembly of Mordovia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the State Assembly of Mordovia as a result of this election.

The number of seats will include all members of the State Assembly of Mordovia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Mordovia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Mordovia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$5,831
End Date
Sep 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 11:44 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the State Assembly of Mordovia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the State Assembly of Mordovia as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the State Assembly of Mordovia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Mordovia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Mordovia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Parliamentary elections to elect the State Assembly of Mordovia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the State Assembly of Mordovia as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the State Assembly of Mordovia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Mordovia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Mordovia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the Mordovia State Assembly election scheduled for September 18–20, 2026, reflecting its consistent dominance in the republic’s mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-mandate districts. The party secured 42 of 48 seats in 2021 and 45 in 2016, with candidates registered across all 24 single-member constituencies for the upcoming vote. Incumbent regional head Artyom Zdunov’s alignment with the party reinforces institutional continuity amid concurrent federal and regional contests. Trader consensus prices other parties, including CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People, near zero due to structural barriers and limited competitive space. Late developments capable of altering outcomes remain narrow, such as unforeseen registration issues or turnout anomalies, though historical patterns indicate low probability.

Parliamentary elections to elect the State Assembly of Mordovia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the State Assembly of Mordovia as a result of this election.

The number of seats will include all members of the State Assembly of Mordovia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Mordovia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Mordovia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$5,831
End Date
Sep 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 11:44 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the State Assembly of Mordovia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the State Assembly of Mordovia as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the State Assembly of Mordovia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Mordovia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Mordovia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Mordovia Parliament Election: Party Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "United Russia" at 95%, followed by "New People" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Mordovia Parliament Election: Party Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Mordovia Parliament Election: Party Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Mordovia Parliament Election: Party Winner" is "United Russia" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "New People" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Mordovia Parliament Election: Party Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.