Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams secured her party's nomination with nearly 79 percent in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican Jack Codiga, who prevailed in a low-turnout GOP primary. North Carolina's 12th district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+24 and has consistently delivered Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles, reflecting its urban core in central Mecklenburg County. Adams maintains a substantial fundraising and organizational edge, while independent forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though a major late-cycle development such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNC-12 House Election Winner
NC-12 House Election Winner
$58,492 Vol.
$58,492 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$58,492 Vol.
$58,492 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,991 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$41,501 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams secured her party's nomination with nearly 79 percent in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican Jack Codiga, who prevailed in a low-turnout GOP primary. North Carolina's 12th district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+24 and has consistently delivered Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles, reflecting its urban core in central Mecklenburg County. Adams maintains a substantial fundraising and organizational edge, while independent forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though a major late-cycle development such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$58,492End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams secured her party's nomination with nearly 79 percent in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican Jack Codiga, who prevailed in a low-turnout GOP primary. North Carolina's 12th district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+24 and has consistently delivered Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles, reflecting its urban core in central Mecklenburg County. Adams maintains a substantial fundraising and organizational edge, while independent forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though a major late-cycle development such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$58,492End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams secured her party's nomination with nearly 79 percent in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican Jack Codiga, who prevailed in a low-turnout GOP primary. North Carolina's 12th district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+24 and has consistently delivered Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles, reflecting its urban core in central Mecklenburg County. Adams maintains a substantial fundraising and organizational edge, while independent forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though a major late-cycle development such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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