Republican incumbent Tim Moore holds a strong position in North Carolina's 14th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. The suburban Charlotte-area seat carries a Republican partisan voting index of R+8 and supported the Republican presidential candidate by 15 points in the prior cycle. Moore secured the nomination with an 83% primary victory in March, while Democrat LaKesha Womack advanced on her side. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district's structural lean, limited Democratic inroads, and the absence of major recent shifts that would alter the balance. Traders assign the Republican Party an 83.5% implied probability, consistent with these baseline factors and historical midterm patterns in comparable districts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNC-14 House Election Winner
NC-14 House Election Winner
$31,713 Vol.
$31,713 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
16%
$31,713 Vol.
$31,713 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$9,213 Vol.
83%
Democratic Party
$22,500 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Tim Moore holds a strong position in North Carolina's 14th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. The suburban Charlotte-area seat carries a Republican partisan voting index of R+8 and supported the Republican presidential candidate by 15 points in the prior cycle. Moore secured the nomination with an 83% primary victory in March, while Democrat LaKesha Womack advanced on her side. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district's structural lean, limited Democratic inroads, and the absence of major recent shifts that would alter the balance. Traders assign the Republican Party an 83.5% implied probability, consistent with these baseline factors and historical midterm patterns in comparable districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$31,713End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Tim Moore holds a strong position in North Carolina's 14th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. The suburban Charlotte-area seat carries a Republican partisan voting index of R+8 and supported the Republican presidential candidate by 15 points in the prior cycle. Moore secured the nomination with an 83% primary victory in March, while Democrat LaKesha Womack advanced on her side. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district's structural lean, limited Democratic inroads, and the absence of major recent shifts that would alter the balance. Traders assign the Republican Party an 83.5% implied probability, consistent with these baseline factors and historical midterm patterns in comparable districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$31,713End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Tim Moore holds a strong position in North Carolina's 14th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. The suburban Charlotte-area seat carries a Republican partisan voting index of R+8 and supported the Republican presidential candidate by 15 points in the prior cycle. Moore secured the nomination with an 83% primary victory in March, while Democrat LaKesha Womack advanced on her side. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district's structural lean, limited Democratic inroads, and the absence of major recent shifts that would alter the balance. Traders assign the Republican Party an 83.5% implied probability, consistent with these baseline factors and historical midterm patterns in comparable districts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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