Mohammed Umaru Bago holds an 80.5% implied probability as the frontrunner in the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election due to his unopposed affirmation as the All Progressives Congress candidate in May 2026 primaries, backed by unanimous ward-level endorsement and strong party machinery across all 25 local government areas. Recent developments reinforcing trader sentiment include Bago’s retention of his running mate, focus on agricultural transformation and infrastructure, and the APC’s historical dominance in the state. Mohammed Kpautagi (ADC) at 3.5% and Abubakar Suleiman (PDP) at 1.1% reflect limited primary visibility and weaker organizational reach for opposition parties ahead of the February 2027 vote. Other listed candidates at 50% indicate low market liquidity or unresolved nomination processes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNiger, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Niger, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Mohammed Umaru Bago 81%
Mohammed Kpautagi 3.5%
Abubakar Suleiman 1.1%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Mohammed Umaru Bago
81%
Mohammed Kpautagi
4%
Abubakar Suleiman
1%
Mohammed Umaru Bago 81%
Mohammed Kpautagi 3.5%
Abubakar Suleiman 1.1%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Mohammed Umaru Bago
$1,847 Vol.
81%
Mohammed Kpautagi
$73 Vol.
4%
Abubakar Suleiman
$141 Vol.
1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Niger State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Mohammed Umaru Bago holds an 80.5% implied probability as the frontrunner in the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election due to his unopposed affirmation as the All Progressives Congress candidate in May 2026 primaries, backed by unanimous ward-level endorsement and strong party machinery across all 25 local government areas. Recent developments reinforcing trader sentiment include Bago’s retention of his running mate, focus on agricultural transformation and infrastructure, and the APC’s historical dominance in the state. Mohammed Kpautagi (ADC) at 3.5% and Abubakar Suleiman (PDP) at 1.1% reflect limited primary visibility and weaker organizational reach for opposition parties ahead of the February 2027 vote. Other listed candidates at 50% indicate low market liquidity or unresolved nomination processes.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Niger State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 4:32 PM ET
Volume
$2,061End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Niger State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Mohammed Umaru Bago holds an 80.5% implied probability as the frontrunner in the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election due to his unopposed affirmation as the All Progressives Congress candidate in May 2026 primaries, backed by unanimous ward-level endorsement and strong party machinery across all 25 local government areas. Recent developments reinforcing trader sentiment include Bago’s retention of his running mate, focus on agricultural transformation and infrastructure, and the APC’s historical dominance in the state. Mohammed Kpautagi (ADC) at 3.5% and Abubakar Suleiman (PDP) at 1.1% reflect limited primary visibility and weaker organizational reach for opposition parties ahead of the February 2027 vote. Other listed candidates at 50% indicate low market liquidity or unresolved nomination processes.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Niger State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$2,061End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mohammed Umaru Bago holds an 80.5% implied probability as the frontrunner in the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election due to his unopposed affirmation as the All Progressives Congress candidate in May 2026 primaries, backed by unanimous ward-level endorsement and strong party machinery across all 25 local government areas. Recent developments reinforcing trader sentiment include Bago’s retention of his running mate, focus on agricultural transformation and infrastructure, and the APC’s historical dominance in the state. Mohammed Kpautagi (ADC) at 3.5% and Abubakar Suleiman (PDP) at 1.1% reflect limited primary visibility and weaker organizational reach for opposition parties ahead of the February 2027 vote. Other listed candidates at 50% indicate low market liquidity or unresolved nomination processes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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