Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew, who switched parties and has held NJ-02 since 2019, enters the November 2026 general election with strong positioning after winning unopposed in the Republican primary. The South Jersey district, which includes areas like Atlantic City and Vineland, has shown consistent Republican preference in recent cycles, with Van Drew securing 58.1% in 2024. Democratic nominee Zack Mullock emerged from a June 2026 primary featuring multiple candidates, but nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the seat Solid Republican. Voter registration edges slightly Republican, and historical margins plus the absence of major recent shifts support trader consensus around an 81% implied probability for the Republican outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNJ-02 House Election Winner
NJ-02 House Election Winner
$24,789 Vol.
$24,789 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
16%
$24,789 Vol.
$24,789 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$12,689 Vol.
81%
Democratic Party
$12,100 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew, who switched parties and has held NJ-02 since 2019, enters the November 2026 general election with strong positioning after winning unopposed in the Republican primary. The South Jersey district, which includes areas like Atlantic City and Vineland, has shown consistent Republican preference in recent cycles, with Van Drew securing 58.1% in 2024. Democratic nominee Zack Mullock emerged from a June 2026 primary featuring multiple candidates, but nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the seat Solid Republican. Voter registration edges slightly Republican, and historical margins plus the absence of major recent shifts support trader consensus around an 81% implied probability for the Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$24,789End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew, who switched parties and has held NJ-02 since 2019, enters the November 2026 general election with strong positioning after winning unopposed in the Republican primary. The South Jersey district, which includes areas like Atlantic City and Vineland, has shown consistent Republican preference in recent cycles, with Van Drew securing 58.1% in 2024. Democratic nominee Zack Mullock emerged from a June 2026 primary featuring multiple candidates, but nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the seat Solid Republican. Voter registration edges slightly Republican, and historical margins plus the absence of major recent shifts support trader consensus around an 81% implied probability for the Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,789End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew, who switched parties and has held NJ-02 since 2019, enters the November 2026 general election with strong positioning after winning unopposed in the Republican primary. The South Jersey district, which includes areas like Atlantic City and Vineland, has shown consistent Republican preference in recent cycles, with Van Drew securing 58.1% in 2024. Democratic nominee Zack Mullock emerged from a June 2026 primary featuring multiple candidates, but nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the seat Solid Republican. Voter registration edges slightly Republican, and historical margins plus the absence of major recent shifts support trader consensus around an 81% implied probability for the Republican outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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