The solidly Democratic composition of Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District, anchored in Philadelphia and consistently delivering large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Brendan Boyle, who advanced unopposed through the May 2026 primary and holds a substantial fundraising edge, benefits from established name recognition and institutional support in a seat that favored prior Democratic presidential nominees by wide margins. Independent race ratings from multiple outlets classify the contest as safe or solid for Democrats. A Republican victory by Jessica Arriaga would require an unprecedented shift, possible only through extraordinary late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment that dramatically alters turnout or voter sentiment before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPA-02 House Election Winner
PA-02 House Election Winner
$35,660 Vol.
$35,660 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
2%
$35,660 Vol.
$35,660 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,352 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$29,308 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Democratic composition of Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District, anchored in Philadelphia and consistently delivering large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Brendan Boyle, who advanced unopposed through the May 2026 primary and holds a substantial fundraising edge, benefits from established name recognition and institutional support in a seat that favored prior Democratic presidential nominees by wide margins. Independent race ratings from multiple outlets classify the contest as safe or solid for Democrats. A Republican victory by Jessica Arriaga would require an unprecedented shift, possible only through extraordinary late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment that dramatically alters turnout or voter sentiment before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$35,660End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Democratic composition of Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District, anchored in Philadelphia and consistently delivering large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Brendan Boyle, who advanced unopposed through the May 2026 primary and holds a substantial fundraising edge, benefits from established name recognition and institutional support in a seat that favored prior Democratic presidential nominees by wide margins. Independent race ratings from multiple outlets classify the contest as safe or solid for Democrats. A Republican victory by Jessica Arriaga would require an unprecedented shift, possible only through extraordinary late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment that dramatically alters turnout or voter sentiment before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,660End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Democratic composition of Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District, anchored in Philadelphia and consistently delivering large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Brendan Boyle, who advanced unopposed through the May 2026 primary and holds a substantial fundraising edge, benefits from established name recognition and institutional support in a seat that favored prior Democratic presidential nominees by wide margins. Independent race ratings from multiple outlets classify the contest as safe or solid for Democrats. A Republican victory by Jessica Arriaga would require an unprecedented shift, possible only through extraordinary late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment that dramatically alters turnout or voter sentiment before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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