**Democratic nominee Susie Lee holds a strong position in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, consistent with trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 89.5%.** Incumbent Lee secured her party’s nomination decisively in the June 9 primary and enters the race with a proven record of narrow but repeated victories in the suburban Las Vegas district, including margins of roughly 4 points in 2022 and under 4 points in 2024. The seat carries a Lean Democratic rating from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, reflecting its modest Democratic tilt in House voting despite a narrow Republican edge in the 2024 presidential results. Republican nominee Marty O’Donnell, who won his primary with Trump backing and substantial self-funding, faces structural challenges in a district where Lee has built personal support among gaming, hospitality, and Hispanic voters. Both candidates have raised several million dollars, but the absence of major new developments since the primaries has kept probabilities stable, with the implied probability reflecting the incumbent’s historical overperformance relative to the district’s partisan baseline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNV-03 House Election Winner
NV-03 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
9%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,076 Vol.
90%
Republican Party
$817 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Democratic nominee Susie Lee holds a strong position in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, consistent with trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 89.5%.**
Incumbent Lee secured her party’s nomination decisively in the June 9 primary and enters the race with a proven record of narrow but repeated victories in the suburban Las Vegas district, including margins of roughly 4 points in 2022 and under 4 points in 2024. The seat carries a Lean Democratic rating from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, reflecting its modest Democratic tilt in House voting despite a narrow Republican edge in the 2024 presidential results.
Republican nominee Marty O’Donnell, who won his primary with Trump backing and substantial self-funding, faces structural challenges in a district where Lee has built personal support among gaming, hospitality, and Hispanic voters. Both candidates have raised several million dollars, but the absence of major new developments since the primaries has kept probabilities stable, with the implied probability reflecting the incumbent’s historical overperformance relative to the district’s partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$3,893End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Democratic nominee Susie Lee holds a strong position in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, consistent with trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 89.5%.**
Incumbent Lee secured her party’s nomination decisively in the June 9 primary and enters the race with a proven record of narrow but repeated victories in the suburban Las Vegas district, including margins of roughly 4 points in 2022 and under 4 points in 2024. The seat carries a Lean Democratic rating from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, reflecting its modest Democratic tilt in House voting despite a narrow Republican edge in the 2024 presidential results.
Republican nominee Marty O’Donnell, who won his primary with Trump backing and substantial self-funding, faces structural challenges in a district where Lee has built personal support among gaming, hospitality, and Hispanic voters. Both candidates have raised several million dollars, but the absence of major new developments since the primaries has kept probabilities stable, with the implied probability reflecting the incumbent’s historical overperformance relative to the district’s partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$3,893End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Democratic nominee Susie Lee holds a strong position in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, consistent with trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 89.5%.** Incumbent Lee secured her party’s nomination decisively in the June 9 primary and enters the race with a proven record of narrow but repeated victories in the suburban Las Vegas district, including margins of roughly 4 points in 2022 and under 4 points in 2024. The seat carries a Lean Democratic rating from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, reflecting its modest Democratic tilt in House voting despite a narrow Republican edge in the 2024 presidential results. Republican nominee Marty O’Donnell, who won his primary with Trump backing and substantial self-funding, faces structural challenges in a district where Lee has built personal support among gaming, hospitality, and Hispanic voters. Both candidates have raised several million dollars, but the absence of major new developments since the primaries has kept probabilities stable, with the implied probability reflecting the incumbent’s historical overperformance relative to the district’s partisan baseline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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