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Politics·Japan

Okinawa Governor Election Winner

icon for Okinawa Governor Election Winner
Politics·Japan

Okinawa Governor Election Winner

Denny Tamaki 62%

Genta Koja 28%

Mikio Shimoji 1.7%

Masahiro Sueyoshi <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Denny Tamaki 62%

Genta Koja 28%

Mikio Shimoji 1.7%

Masahiro Sueyoshi <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Denny Tamaki

Denny Tamaki

$5,741 Vol.

62%

icon for Genta Koja

Genta Koja

$503 Vol.

28%

icon for Mikio Shimoji

Mikio Shimoji

$305 Vol.

2%

icon for Masahiro Sueyoshi

Masahiro Sueyoshi

$259 Vol.

1%

icon for Takashi Higa

Takashi Higa

$264 Vol.

1%

icon for Chosuke Yara

Chosuke Yara

$256 Vol.

<1%

icon for Shun Kaneshima

Shun Kaneshima

$228 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).**Denny Tamaki holds a strong lead in the September 13, 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election as the incumbent seeking a third term, backed by the Constitutional Democratic Party, Japanese Communist Party, Social Democratic Party, and RENGO labor federation.** His positioning benefits from established voter networks in a prefecture where opposition to the Henoko relocation of U.S. Marine Corps Air Station Futenma has long shaped outcomes, even as he shifts emphasis toward medical care, social welfare, and economic measures amid inflation pressures. Genta Koja, the 42-year-old former Naha deputy mayor backed by the Liberal Democratic Party, Komeito, and Democratic Party for the People, trails significantly; the LDP has mobilized senior figures for rallies and pledged full resources ahead of the August 27 announcement, yet faces structural challenges in a constituency historically resistant to national ruling-party candidates on base issues. Minor contenders including Mikio Shimoji and others register negligible support, reflecting a contest effectively narrowed to the two frontrunners. Recent campaign activity shows both sides prioritizing unaffiliated voters through welfare and growth pledges rather than direct confrontation over bases, while official timelines leave limited room for late shifts before voting. Trader consensus prices Tamaki as the clear favorite due to incumbency advantages and consistent local alignments, with Koja’s national-party momentum insufficient to close the gap in recent assessments.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
Volume
$7,556
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).**Denny Tamaki holds a strong lead in the September 13, 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election as the incumbent seeking a third term, backed by the Constitutional Democratic Party, Japanese Communist Party, Social Democratic Party, and RENGO labor federation.** His positioning benefits from established voter networks in a prefecture where opposition to the Henoko relocation of U.S. Marine Corps Air Station Futenma has long shaped outcomes, even as he shifts emphasis toward medical care, social welfare, and economic measures amid inflation pressures. Genta Koja, the 42-year-old former Naha deputy mayor backed by the Liberal Democratic Party, Komeito, and Democratic Party for the People, trails significantly; the LDP has mobilized senior figures for rallies and pledged full resources ahead of the August 27 announcement, yet faces structural challenges in a constituency historically resistant to national ruling-party candidates on base issues. Minor contenders including Mikio Shimoji and others register negligible support, reflecting a contest effectively narrowed to the two frontrunners. Recent campaign activity shows both sides prioritizing unaffiliated voters through welfare and growth pledges rather than direct confrontation over bases, while official timelines leave limited room for late shifts before voting. Trader consensus prices Tamaki as the clear favorite due to incumbency advantages and consistent local alignments, with Koja’s national-party momentum insufficient to close the gap in recent assessments.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
Volume
$7,556
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Okinawa Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Denny Tamaki" at 62%, followed by "Genta Koja" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Okinawa Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Okinawa Governor Election Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Okinawa Governor Election Winner" is "Denny Tamaki" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Genta Koja" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Okinawa Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.