Incumbent Democratic Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with over 86% in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Barbara Kahl in the November general election for Oregon's 1st congressional district. The seat carries a D+20 partisan voter index and delivered strong Democratic margins in recent presidential and House contests, consistent with its urban and suburban voter base along the Portland corridor. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or late-cycle shifts. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unprecedented national partisan realignment could still alter the outcome before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOR-01 House Election Winner
OR-01 House Election Winner
$24,126 Vol.
$24,126 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
5%
$24,126 Vol.
$24,126 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,566 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$13,560 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with over 86% in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Barbara Kahl in the November general election for Oregon's 1st congressional district. The seat carries a D+20 partisan voter index and delivered strong Democratic margins in recent presidential and House contests, consistent with its urban and suburban voter base along the Portland corridor. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or late-cycle shifts. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unprecedented national partisan realignment could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$24,126End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with over 86% in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Barbara Kahl in the November general election for Oregon's 1st congressional district. The seat carries a D+20 partisan voter index and delivered strong Democratic margins in recent presidential and House contests, consistent with its urban and suburban voter base along the Portland corridor. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or late-cycle shifts. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unprecedented national partisan realignment could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,126End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with over 86% in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Barbara Kahl in the November general election for Oregon's 1st congressional district. The seat carries a D+20 partisan voter index and delivered strong Democratic margins in recent presidential and House contests, consistent with its urban and suburban voter base along the Portland corridor. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or late-cycle shifts. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unprecedented national partisan realignment could still alter the outcome before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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