**LDPR holds a modest edge over New People in trader pricing for third place behind United Russia, reflecting the narrow gap in recent state pollster data and the parties' established niches within Russia's managed multi-party system.** LDPR benefits from its long-standing nationalist positioning, recent federal list headed by Leonid Slutsky emphasizing demographics, regions, and patriotic themes, and consistent single-digit to low-teens support in FOM and WCIOM surveys. New People has shown volatility with gains in some earlier readings tied to cautious appeals on social and digital issues, while KPRF trails further back amid competition for the left-leaning vote. The closeness stems from fluctuating methodological differences between pollsters, overlapping voter bases among systemic opposition parties, and the three-day voting format with single-mandate districts. Late-campaign developments such as regional turnout patterns, final messaging on economic or security topics, or shifts in undecided voters could widen the margin between LDPR and New People before results are finalized in early October.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLiberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 41%
New People (NL) 35%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 15%
Yabloko 1.7%
$62,163 Vol.
$62,163 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
United Russia (ER)
1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
15%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
41%
New People (NL)
35%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Yabloko
2%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 41%
New People (NL) 35%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 15%
Yabloko 1.7%
$62,163 Vol.
$62,163 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
United Russia (ER)
$3,690 Vol.
1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$9,362 Vol.
15%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$3,471 Vol.
1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$18,781 Vol.
41%
New People (NL)
$10,960 Vol.
35%
Rodina
$3,479 Vol.
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$1,818 Vol.
<1%
Yabloko
$10,601 Vol.
2%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.**LDPR holds a modest edge over New People in trader pricing for third place behind United Russia, reflecting the narrow gap in recent state pollster data and the parties' established niches within Russia's managed multi-party system.** LDPR benefits from its long-standing nationalist positioning, recent federal list headed by Leonid Slutsky emphasizing demographics, regions, and patriotic themes, and consistent single-digit to low-teens support in FOM and WCIOM surveys. New People has shown volatility with gains in some earlier readings tied to cautious appeals on social and digital issues, while KPRF trails further back amid competition for the left-leaning vote. The closeness stems from fluctuating methodological differences between pollsters, overlapping voter bases among systemic opposition parties, and the three-day voting format with single-mandate districts. Late-campaign developments such as regional turnout patterns, final messaging on economic or security topics, or shifts in undecided voters could widen the margin between LDPR and New People before results are finalized in early October.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Volume
$62,163End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.**LDPR holds a modest edge over New People in trader pricing for third place behind United Russia, reflecting the narrow gap in recent state pollster data and the parties' established niches within Russia's managed multi-party system.** LDPR benefits from its long-standing nationalist positioning, recent federal list headed by Leonid Slutsky emphasizing demographics, regions, and patriotic themes, and consistent single-digit to low-teens support in FOM and WCIOM surveys. New People has shown volatility with gains in some earlier readings tied to cautious appeals on social and digital issues, while KPRF trails further back amid competition for the left-leaning vote. The closeness stems from fluctuating methodological differences between pollsters, overlapping voter bases among systemic opposition parties, and the three-day voting format with single-mandate districts. Late-campaign developments such as regional turnout patterns, final messaging on economic or security topics, or shifts in undecided voters could widen the margin between LDPR and New People before results are finalized in early October.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$62,163End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**LDPR holds a modest edge over New People in trader pricing for third place behind United Russia, reflecting the narrow gap in recent state pollster data and the parties' established niches within Russia's managed multi-party system.** LDPR benefits from its long-standing nationalist positioning, recent federal list headed by Leonid Slutsky emphasizing demographics, regions, and patriotic themes, and consistent single-digit to low-teens support in FOM and WCIOM surveys. New People has shown volatility with gains in some earlier readings tied to cautious appeals on social and digital issues, while KPRF trails further back amid competition for the left-leaning vote. The closeness stems from fluctuating methodological differences between pollsters, overlapping voter bases among systemic opposition parties, and the three-day voting format with single-mandate districts. Late-campaign developments such as regional turnout patterns, final messaging on economic or security topics, or shifts in undecided voters could widen the margin between LDPR and New People before results are finalized in early October.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
84%
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
99%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
71%
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions