Recent polls for the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election show Grüne and BSW clustered near the 5% entry threshold, with averages placing Grüne at roughly 4.6% and BSW at 4.4%. Multiple surveys from INSA, pollytix, and Infratest dimap in July-August record both parties between 4% and 5%, producing a narrow trader edge for Grüne receiving more votes. BSW has encountered internal leadership strains and candidate disputes in the state that have limited its campaign momentum, while Grüne maintains a steadier presence in eastern voter surveys. With only two weeks remaining, late shifts among undecided voters or turnout differences could still narrow or reverse the slim gap reflected in current pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGrüne
68% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
Grüne
68% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Grüne” if Grüne wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than BSW in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “BSW” if BSW wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Grüne in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Grüne and BSW receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polls for the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election show Grüne and BSW clustered near the 5% entry threshold, with averages placing Grüne at roughly 4.6% and BSW at 4.4%. Multiple surveys from INSA, pollytix, and Infratest dimap in July-August record both parties between 4% and 5%, producing a narrow trader edge for Grüne receiving more votes. BSW has encountered internal leadership strains and candidate disputes in the state that have limited its campaign momentum, while Grüne maintains a steadier presence in eastern voter surveys. With only two weeks remaining, late shifts among undecided voters or turnout differences could still narrow or reverse the slim gap reflected in current pricing.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Grüne” if Grüne wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than BSW in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “BSW” if BSW wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Grüne in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Grüne and BSW receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to “Grüne” if Grüne wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than BSW in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “BSW” if BSW wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Grüne in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Grüne and BSW receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
Volume
$2,701End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Grüne” if Grüne wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than BSW in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “BSW” if BSW wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Grüne in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Grüne and BSW receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polls for the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election show Grüne and BSW clustered near the 5% entry threshold, with averages placing Grüne at roughly 4.6% and BSW at 4.4%. Multiple surveys from INSA, pollytix, and Infratest dimap in July-August record both parties between 4% and 5%, producing a narrow trader edge for Grüne receiving more votes. BSW has encountered internal leadership strains and candidate disputes in the state that have limited its campaign momentum, while Grüne maintains a steadier presence in eastern voter surveys. With only two weeks remaining, late shifts among undecided voters or turnout differences could still narrow or reverse the slim gap reflected in current pricing.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Grüne” if Grüne wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than BSW in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “BSW” if BSW wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Grüne in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Grüne and BSW receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to “Grüne” if Grüne wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than BSW in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “BSW” if BSW wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Grüne in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Grüne and BSW receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$2,701End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polls for the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election show Grüne and BSW clustered near the 5% entry threshold, with averages placing Grüne at roughly 4.6% and BSW at 4.4%. Multiple surveys from INSA, pollytix, and Infratest dimap in July-August record both parties between 4% and 5%, producing a narrow trader edge for Grüne receiving more votes. BSW has encountered internal leadership strains and candidate disputes in the state that have limited its campaign momentum, while Grüne maintains a steadier presence in eastern voter surveys. With only two weeks remaining, late shifts among undecided voters or turnout differences could still narrow or reverse the slim gap reflected in current pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions