Recent polling across multiple institutes shows the AfD holding a commanding lead at 41–43% ahead of the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, while the CDU sits stably in second at 22–24%. The Left trails further at 13%, with the SPD, Greens, BSW, and FDP clustered near or below the 5% entry threshold. This consistent gap, reinforced by voter surveys over the past month and limited movement in recent weeks, underpins trader consensus that the CDU will finish second. A late surge by The Left, unusually high turnout among smaller-party voters, or an unexpected CDU collapse could narrow the margin, though current data indicate few signs of such shifts before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCDU 98.6%
The Left <1%
AfD <1%
SPD <1%
$133,995 Vol.
$133,995 Vol.

CDU
99%

The Left
1%

AfD
<1%

SPD
<1%

The Greens
<1%

FDP
<1%

BSW
<1%
CDU 98.6%
The Left <1%
AfD <1%
SPD <1%
$133,995 Vol.
$133,995 Vol.

CDU
99%

The Left
1%

AfD
<1%

SPD
<1%

The Greens
<1%

FDP
<1%

BSW
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling across multiple institutes shows the AfD holding a commanding lead at 41–43% ahead of the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, while the CDU sits stably in second at 22–24%. The Left trails further at 13%, with the SPD, Greens, BSW, and FDP clustered near or below the 5% entry threshold. This consistent gap, reinforced by voter surveys over the past month and limited movement in recent weeks, underpins trader consensus that the CDU will finish second. A late surge by The Left, unusually high turnout among smaller-party voters, or an unexpected CDU collapse could narrow the margin, though current data indicate few signs of such shifts before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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