South Carolina's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide races, where the party has held the governorship continuously since 2003 and no Democrat has won since 1998, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Attorney General Alan Wilson secured the Republican nomination after defeating Lieutenant Governor Pamela Evette by a wide margin in the June 23 runoff, consolidating party support in an open-seat contest following term limits on incumbent Henry McMaster. Democratic nominee State Representative Jermaine Johnson won his primary outright but confronts steep structural headwinds in a state Trump carried by nearly 18 points in 2024. Recent polling and forecasting models project Wilson with a substantial lead and over 90 percent implied probability. Unlikely scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major unforeseen scandal, significant turnout surge among Democratic-leaning voters, or a sharp national political shift in the final weeks before the November 3 election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$17,186 Vol.
$17,186 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
94%
Democrat
6%
$17,186 Vol.
$17,186 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
$9,983 Vol.
94%
Democrat
$7,203 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide races, where the party has held the governorship continuously since 2003 and no Democrat has won since 1998, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Attorney General Alan Wilson secured the Republican nomination after defeating Lieutenant Governor Pamela Evette by a wide margin in the June 23 runoff, consolidating party support in an open-seat contest following term limits on incumbent Henry McMaster. Democratic nominee State Representative Jermaine Johnson won his primary outright but confronts steep structural headwinds in a state Trump carried by nearly 18 points in 2024. Recent polling and forecasting models project Wilson with a substantial lead and over 90 percent implied probability. Unlikely scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major unforeseen scandal, significant turnout surge among Democratic-leaning voters, or a sharp national political shift in the final weeks before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$17,186End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide races, where the party has held the governorship continuously since 2003 and no Democrat has won since 1998, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Attorney General Alan Wilson secured the Republican nomination after defeating Lieutenant Governor Pamela Evette by a wide margin in the June 23 runoff, consolidating party support in an open-seat contest following term limits on incumbent Henry McMaster. Democratic nominee State Representative Jermaine Johnson won his primary outright but confronts steep structural headwinds in a state Trump carried by nearly 18 points in 2024. Recent polling and forecasting models project Wilson with a substantial lead and over 90 percent implied probability. Unlikely scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major unforeseen scandal, significant turnout surge among Democratic-leaning voters, or a sharp national political shift in the final weeks before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$17,186End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide races, where the party has held the governorship continuously since 2003 and no Democrat has won since 1998, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Attorney General Alan Wilson secured the Republican nomination after defeating Lieutenant Governor Pamela Evette by a wide margin in the June 23 runoff, consolidating party support in an open-seat contest following term limits on incumbent Henry McMaster. Democratic nominee State Representative Jermaine Johnson won his primary outright but confronts steep structural headwinds in a state Trump carried by nearly 18 points in 2024. Recent polling and forecasting models project Wilson with a substantial lead and over 90 percent implied probability. Unlikely scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major unforeseen scandal, significant turnout surge among Democratic-leaning voters, or a sharp national political shift in the final weeks before the November 3 election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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