South Carolina's solidly Republican lean and open-seat dynamics after term limits barred Governor Henry McMaster have anchored trader consensus around the Republican nominee at 93.5%. Attorney General Alan Wilson secured the nomination by winning the June 23 runoff against Lieutenant Governor Pamela Evette with 68.6% of the vote, consolidating support after a crowded primary that included several members of Congress. Democratic nominee Jermaine Johnson, a state representative, faces structural challenges in a state with consistent Republican advantages in statewide races. Recent polling averages and forecasts project double-digit Republican margins. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant turnout shifts among key voting blocs, or an unexpected national political wave remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$17,186 Vol.
$17,186 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
94%
Democrat
6%
$17,186 Vol.
$17,186 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
$9,983 Vol.
94%
Democrat
$7,203 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina's solidly Republican lean and open-seat dynamics after term limits barred Governor Henry McMaster have anchored trader consensus around the Republican nominee at 93.5%. Attorney General Alan Wilson secured the nomination by winning the June 23 runoff against Lieutenant Governor Pamela Evette with 68.6% of the vote, consolidating support after a crowded primary that included several members of Congress. Democratic nominee Jermaine Johnson, a state representative, faces structural challenges in a state with consistent Republican advantages in statewide races. Recent polling averages and forecasts project double-digit Republican margins. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant turnout shifts among key voting blocs, or an unexpected national political wave remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$17,186End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina's solidly Republican lean and open-seat dynamics after term limits barred Governor Henry McMaster have anchored trader consensus around the Republican nominee at 93.5%. Attorney General Alan Wilson secured the nomination by winning the June 23 runoff against Lieutenant Governor Pamela Evette with 68.6% of the vote, consolidating support after a crowded primary that included several members of Congress. Democratic nominee Jermaine Johnson, a state representative, faces structural challenges in a state with consistent Republican advantages in statewide races. Recent polling averages and forecasts project double-digit Republican margins. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant turnout shifts among key voting blocs, or an unexpected national political wave remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$17,186End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's solidly Republican lean and open-seat dynamics after term limits barred Governor Henry McMaster have anchored trader consensus around the Republican nominee at 93.5%. Attorney General Alan Wilson secured the nomination by winning the June 23 runoff against Lieutenant Governor Pamela Evette with 68.6% of the vote, consolidating support after a crowded primary that included several members of Congress. Democratic nominee Jermaine Johnson, a state representative, faces structural challenges in a state with consistent Republican advantages in statewide races. Recent polling averages and forecasts project double-digit Republican margins. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant turnout shifts among key voting blocs, or an unexpected national political wave remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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