South Korea’s 2026 annual inflation market shows closely matched probabilities across the 2.4–2.9% range and the 3.0%+ bucket, reflecting trader uncertainty around the balance between recent disinflation and emerging demand pressures. July CPI eased to 2.8% year-over-year from 3.2% in June, below expectations, with moderation in transport and food components, yet the reading remains above the Bank of Korea’s 2% target and core inflation held near 2.5–2.6%. Upward revisions to 2026 GDP growth forecasts—to 3% or higher—alongside elevated oil prices and lagged effects from earlier won weakness have sustained concerns about demand-side and imported inflation. The BOK’s maintained 2.7% projection for the year, combined with ongoing monetary tightening and the next CPI releases, keeps the 2.7–2.9% outcome narrowly favored while leaving room for upside surprises if growth broadens beyond semiconductors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2.7% to 2.9% 32.8%
2.4% to 2.6% 29.0%
3.0%+ 28.6%
2.1% to 2.3% 8.0%
$31,384 Vol.
$31,384 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
<1.5%
3%
1.5% to 1.7%
2%
1.8% to 2.0%
1%
2.1% to 2.3%
8%
2.4% to 2.6%
29%
2.7% to 2.9%
33%
3.0%+
29%
2.7% to 2.9% 32.8%
2.4% to 2.6% 29.0%
3.0%+ 28.6%
2.1% to 2.3% 8.0%
$31,384 Vol.
$31,384 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
<1.5%
$2,476 Vol.
3%
1.5% to 1.7%
$2,323 Vol.
2%
1.8% to 2.0%
$1,474 Vol.
1%
2.1% to 2.3%
$4,094 Vol.
8%
2.4% to 2.6%
$4,352 Vol.
29%
2.7% to 2.9%
$5,013 Vol.
33%
3.0%+
$11,652 Vol.
29%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000South Korea’s 2026 annual inflation market shows closely matched probabilities across the 2.4–2.9% range and the 3.0%+ bucket, reflecting trader uncertainty around the balance between recent disinflation and emerging demand pressures. July CPI eased to 2.8% year-over-year from 3.2% in June, below expectations, with moderation in transport and food components, yet the reading remains above the Bank of Korea’s 2% target and core inflation held near 2.5–2.6%. Upward revisions to 2026 GDP growth forecasts—to 3% or higher—alongside elevated oil prices and lagged effects from earlier won weakness have sustained concerns about demand-side and imported inflation. The BOK’s maintained 2.7% projection for the year, combined with ongoing monetary tightening and the next CPI releases, keeps the 2.7–2.9% outcome narrowly favored while leaving room for upside surprises if growth broadens beyond semiconductors.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Market Opened: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volume
$31,384End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000South Korea’s 2026 annual inflation market shows closely matched probabilities across the 2.4–2.9% range and the 3.0%+ bucket, reflecting trader uncertainty around the balance between recent disinflation and emerging demand pressures. July CPI eased to 2.8% year-over-year from 3.2% in June, below expectations, with moderation in transport and food components, yet the reading remains above the Bank of Korea’s 2% target and core inflation held near 2.5–2.6%. Upward revisions to 2026 GDP growth forecasts—to 3% or higher—alongside elevated oil prices and lagged effects from earlier won weakness have sustained concerns about demand-side and imported inflation. The BOK’s maintained 2.7% projection for the year, combined with ongoing monetary tightening and the next CPI releases, keeps the 2.7–2.9% outcome narrowly favored while leaving room for upside surprises if growth broadens beyond semiconductors.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volume
$31,384End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Korea’s 2026 annual inflation market shows closely matched probabilities across the 2.4–2.9% range and the 3.0%+ bucket, reflecting trader uncertainty around the balance between recent disinflation and emerging demand pressures. July CPI eased to 2.8% year-over-year from 3.2% in June, below expectations, with moderation in transport and food components, yet the reading remains above the Bank of Korea’s 2% target and core inflation held near 2.5–2.6%. Upward revisions to 2026 GDP growth forecasts—to 3% or higher—alongside elevated oil prices and lagged effects from earlier won weakness have sustained concerns about demand-side and imported inflation. The BOK’s maintained 2.7% projection for the year, combined with ongoing monetary tightening and the next CPI releases, keeps the 2.7–2.9% outcome narrowly favored while leaving room for upside surprises if growth broadens beyond semiconductors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions