**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestic (and $932 million worldwide) on July 31, 2026, marking the second-biggest opening weekend ever and establishing it as an immediate box-office phenomenon. Strong word-of-mouth, minimal competition, and Tom Holland’s draw have fueled impressive legs, with the film already surpassing $825 million domestically after just over three weeks and reaching the $2 billion global milestone faster than nearly any prior release. As of late August 23, 2026, it is tracking for another substantial weekend and continued midweek holdover before the August 31 cutoff, positioning it to comfortably clear $800 million while leaving room for debate between the 800–900 million and 900 million+ brackets. Historical precedent for MCU Spider-Man films, combined with current momentum and limited August counterprogramming, underpins trader consensus around these two leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
800 - 900m 56%
900m+ 43.8%
<400m <1%
400 - 500m <1%
$1,654,509 Vol.
$1,654,509 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<400m
<1%
400 - 500m
<1%
500 - 600m
<1%
600 - 700m
<1%
700 - 800m
<1%
800 - 900m
56%
900m+
44%
800 - 900m 56%
900m+ 43.8%
<400m <1%
400 - 500m <1%
$1,654,509 Vol.
$1,654,509 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<400m
$47,224 Vol.
<1%
400 - 500m
$32,979 Vol.
<1%
500 - 600m
$28,798 Vol.
<1%
600 - 700m
$43,568 Vol.
<1%
700 - 800m
$127,034 Vol.
<1%
800 - 900m
$404,587 Vol.
56%
900m+
$970,319 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestic (and $932 million worldwide) on July 31, 2026, marking the second-biggest opening weekend ever and establishing it as an immediate box-office phenomenon. Strong word-of-mouth, minimal competition, and Tom Holland’s draw have fueled impressive legs, with the film already surpassing $825 million domestically after just over three weeks and reaching the $2 billion global milestone faster than nearly any prior release.
As of late August 23, 2026, it is tracking for another substantial weekend and continued midweek holdover before the August 31 cutoff, positioning it to comfortably clear $800 million while leaving room for debate between the 800–900 million and 900 million+ brackets. Historical precedent for MCU Spider-Man films, combined with current momentum and limited August counterprogramming, underpins trader consensus around these two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$1,654,509End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestic (and $932 million worldwide) on July 31, 2026, marking the second-biggest opening weekend ever and establishing it as an immediate box-office phenomenon. Strong word-of-mouth, minimal competition, and Tom Holland’s draw have fueled impressive legs, with the film already surpassing $825 million domestically after just over three weeks and reaching the $2 billion global milestone faster than nearly any prior release.
As of late August 23, 2026, it is tracking for another substantial weekend and continued midweek holdover before the August 31 cutoff, positioning it to comfortably clear $800 million while leaving room for debate between the 800–900 million and 900 million+ brackets. Historical precedent for MCU Spider-Man films, combined with current momentum and limited August counterprogramming, underpins trader consensus around these two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$1,654,509End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestic (and $932 million worldwide) on July 31, 2026, marking the second-biggest opening weekend ever and establishing it as an immediate box-office phenomenon. Strong word-of-mouth, minimal competition, and Tom Holland’s draw have fueled impressive legs, with the film already surpassing $825 million domestically after just over three weeks and reaching the $2 billion global milestone faster than nearly any prior release. As of late August 23, 2026, it is tracking for another substantial weekend and continued midweek holdover before the August 31 cutoff, positioning it to comfortably clear $800 million while leaving room for debate between the 800–900 million and 900 million+ brackets. Historical precedent for MCU Spider-Man films, combined with current momentum and limited August counterprogramming, underpins trader consensus around these two leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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