Strong opening weekend performance of $360 million set records, but typical post-holiday superhero drop-offs and 2.3x legs have slowed momentum, leaving the domestic total at roughly $826 million after 23 days as of August 21. With only eight days until the August 31 cutoff, daily grosses in the $5–10 million range make it unlikely to add the $75 million-plus needed to clear $900 million, aligning with trader consensus favoring the sub-$900 million and $900–920 million brackets. Limited competition and solid word-of-mouth provide minor tailwinds, yet historical patterns for MCU entries suggest front-loaded earnings will cap further upside.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes)
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes)
<900m 55%
900 - 920m 45%
1080m+ <1%
920 - 940m <1%
$380,426 Vol.
$380,426 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<900m
55%
900 - 920m
45%
920 - 940m
<1%
940 - 960m
<1%
960 - 980m
<1%
980 - 1000m
<1%
1000 - 1020m
<1%
1020 - 1040m
<1%
1040 - 1060m
<1%
1060 - 1080m
<1%
1080m+
<1%
<900m 55%
900 - 920m 45%
1080m+ <1%
920 - 940m <1%
$380,426 Vol.
$380,426 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<900m
$88,524 Vol.
55%
900 - 920m
$72,223 Vol.
45%
920 - 940m
$35,427 Vol.
<1%
940 - 960m
$23,752 Vol.
<1%
960 - 980m
$16,278 Vol.
<1%
980 - 1000m
$8,224 Vol.
<1%
1000 - 1020m
$2,789 Vol.
<1%
1020 - 1040m
$764 Vol.
<1%
1040 - 1060m
$837 Vol.
<1%
1060 - 1080m
$873 Vol.
<1%
1080m+
$130,736 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong opening weekend performance of $360 million set records, but typical post-holiday superhero drop-offs and 2.3x legs have slowed momentum, leaving the domestic total at roughly $826 million after 23 days as of August 21. With only eight days until the August 31 cutoff, daily grosses in the $5–10 million range make it unlikely to add the $75 million-plus needed to clear $900 million, aligning with trader consensus favoring the sub-$900 million and $900–920 million brackets. Limited competition and solid word-of-mouth provide minor tailwinds, yet historical patterns for MCU entries suggest front-loaded earnings will cap further upside.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
Volume
$380,426End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong opening weekend performance of $360 million set records, but typical post-holiday superhero drop-offs and 2.3x legs have slowed momentum, leaving the domestic total at roughly $826 million after 23 days as of August 21. With only eight days until the August 31 cutoff, daily grosses in the $5–10 million range make it unlikely to add the $75 million-plus needed to clear $900 million, aligning with trader consensus favoring the sub-$900 million and $900–920 million brackets. Limited competition and solid word-of-mouth provide minor tailwinds, yet historical patterns for MCU entries suggest front-loaded earnings will cap further upside.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$380,426End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong opening weekend performance of $360 million set records, but typical post-holiday superhero drop-offs and 2.3x legs have slowed momentum, leaving the domestic total at roughly $826 million after 23 days as of August 21. With only eight days until the August 31 cutoff, daily grosses in the $5–10 million range make it unlikely to add the $75 million-plus needed to clear $900 million, aligning with trader consensus favoring the sub-$900 million and $900–920 million brackets. Limited competition and solid word-of-mouth provide minor tailwinds, yet historical patterns for MCU entries suggest front-loaded earnings will cap further upside.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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