**Strong opening weekend performance and rapid early earnings have positioned "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" near $850–855 million domestically by late August 2026, driving trader consensus toward the sub-$900 million or low-$900 million brackets by August 31.** The film posted a record $360 million domestic debut and crossed $800 million in just 19 days—the fastest ever—supported by an A CinemaScore, 90%+ Rotten Tomatoes score, and Tom Holland-Zendaya star power. However, typical post-opening drops (60% then 51% in weeks two and three) plus new competition have slowed momentum, with a $39 million fourth weekend. Models project a final domestic total in the $900–980 million range, making the August 31 cutoff a tight call between the two leading outcomes while rendering higher brackets improbable without an unexpected hold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes)
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes)
<900m 56%
900 - 920m 45%
1080m+ <1%
920 - 940m <1%
$380,269 Vol.
$380,269 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<900m
56%
900 - 920m
45%
920 - 940m
<1%
940 - 960m
<1%
960 - 980m
<1%
980 - 1000m
<1%
1000 - 1020m
<1%
1020 - 1040m
<1%
1040 - 1060m
<1%
1060 - 1080m
<1%
1080m+
<1%
<900m 56%
900 - 920m 45%
1080m+ <1%
920 - 940m <1%
$380,269 Vol.
$380,269 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<900m
$88,524 Vol.
56%
900 - 920m
$72,126 Vol.
45%
920 - 940m
$35,427 Vol.
<1%
940 - 960m
$23,752 Vol.
<1%
960 - 980m
$16,278 Vol.
<1%
980 - 1000m
$8,224 Vol.
<1%
1000 - 1020m
$2,789 Vol.
<1%
1020 - 1040m
$764 Vol.
<1%
1040 - 1060m
$837 Vol.
<1%
1060 - 1080m
$873 Vol.
<1%
1080m+
$130,676 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong opening weekend performance and rapid early earnings have positioned "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" near $850–855 million domestically by late August 2026, driving trader consensus toward the sub-$900 million or low-$900 million brackets by August 31.** The film posted a record $360 million domestic debut and crossed $800 million in just 19 days—the fastest ever—supported by an A CinemaScore, 90%+ Rotten Tomatoes score, and Tom Holland-Zendaya star power. However, typical post-opening drops (60% then 51% in weeks two and three) plus new competition have slowed momentum, with a $39 million fourth weekend. Models project a final domestic total in the $900–980 million range, making the August 31 cutoff a tight call between the two leading outcomes while rendering higher brackets improbable without an unexpected hold.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
Volume
$380,269End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong opening weekend performance and rapid early earnings have positioned "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" near $850–855 million domestically by late August 2026, driving trader consensus toward the sub-$900 million or low-$900 million brackets by August 31.** The film posted a record $360 million domestic debut and crossed $800 million in just 19 days—the fastest ever—supported by an A CinemaScore, 90%+ Rotten Tomatoes score, and Tom Holland-Zendaya star power. However, typical post-opening drops (60% then 51% in weeks two and three) plus new competition have slowed momentum, with a $39 million fourth weekend. Models project a final domestic total in the $900–980 million range, making the August 31 cutoff a tight call between the two leading outcomes while rendering higher brackets improbable without an unexpected hold.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$380,269End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong opening weekend performance and rapid early earnings have positioned "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" near $850–855 million domestically by late August 2026, driving trader consensus toward the sub-$900 million or low-$900 million brackets by August 31.** The film posted a record $360 million domestic debut and crossed $800 million in just 19 days—the fastest ever—supported by an A CinemaScore, 90%+ Rotten Tomatoes score, and Tom Holland-Zendaya star power. However, typical post-opening drops (60% then 51% in weeks two and three) plus new competition have slowed momentum, with a $39 million fourth weekend. Models project a final domestic total in the $900–980 million range, making the August 31 cutoff a tight call between the two leading outcomes while rendering higher brackets improbable without an unexpected hold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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