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Politics·Taiwan

Taoyuan Mayor Election Winner

icon for Taoyuan Mayor Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Taoyuan Mayor Election Winner

Chang San-cheng 90%

Huang Shih-chieh 4.3%

Perng Shaw-jiin <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Chang San-cheng 90%

Huang Shih-chieh 4.3%

Perng Shaw-jiin <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Chang San-cheng

Chang San-cheng

$6,442 Vol.

90%

icon for Huang Shih-chieh

Huang Shih-chieh

$2,044 Vol.

4%

icon for Perng Shaw-jiin

Perng Shaw-jiin

$1,276 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chang San-cheng, the Kuomintang incumbent seeking re-election in Taoyuan’s November 28, 2026 mayoral race, holds a commanding position in trader consensus due to his established local base and consistent leads in available polling against the Democratic Progressive Party challenger Huang Shih-chieh. Party nominations were finalized earlier in 2026, with limited evidence of major late shifts in voter sentiment or campaign momentum. Coordination between opposition parties has helped stabilize the race in KMT-leaning areas like Taoyuan, while no significant scandals, policy reversals, or external events have altered the fundamentals in recent weeks. This dynamic underpins the wide gap in implied probabilities across listed candidates.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$9,762
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chang San-cheng, the Kuomintang incumbent seeking re-election in Taoyuan’s November 28, 2026 mayoral race, holds a commanding position in trader consensus due to his established local base and consistent leads in available polling against the Democratic Progressive Party challenger Huang Shih-chieh. Party nominations were finalized earlier in 2026, with limited evidence of major late shifts in voter sentiment or campaign momentum. Coordination between opposition parties has helped stabilize the race in KMT-leaning areas like Taoyuan, while no significant scandals, policy reversals, or external events have altered the fundamentals in recent weeks. This dynamic underpins the wide gap in implied probabilities across listed candidates.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$9,762
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Taoyuan Mayor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chang San-cheng" at 90%, followed by "Huang Shih-chieh" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Taoyuan Mayor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Taoyuan Mayor Election Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Taoyuan Mayor Election Winner" is "Chang San-cheng" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Huang Shih-chieh" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Taoyuan Mayor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.