**The primary driver behind the 87.5% implied probability on an 18.5-20M sixth weekend for *The Odyssey* is the film’s Friday estimate of $5.02M across 3,091 theaters, a 22% drop that aligns with its recent stabilization pattern.** After opening at $123.5M and posting weekends of $90M, $51M, $31.7M, and $23.6M, the Christopher Nolan-directed Matt Damon epic has demonstrated strong legs with a 4.2x multiplier to date and sustained Imax interest that continues to support per-screen averages. Trader consensus reflects this predictable, gradual decline trajectory amid limited new competition, positioning the 18.5-20M band as the clear frontrunner while assigning only modest upside to 20-21.5M. The market’s tight distribution underscores confidence in the established hold pattern heading into the August 21-23 frame.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office
"The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office
18.5-20m 77%
20-21.5m 23%
17-18.5m 1.1%
<17m <1%
$63,544 Vol.
$63,544 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
<17m
<1%
17-18.5m
1%
18.5-20m
77%
20-21.5m
23%
21.5m+
<1%
18.5-20m 77%
20-21.5m 23%
17-18.5m 1.1%
<17m <1%
$63,544 Vol.
$63,544 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
<17m
$13,514 Vol.
<1%
17-18.5m
$16,718 Vol.
1%
18.5-20m
$13,594 Vol.
77%
20-21.5m
$11,706 Vol.
23%
21.5m+
$8,012 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Odyssey" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**The primary driver behind the 87.5% implied probability on an 18.5-20M sixth weekend for *The Odyssey* is the film’s Friday estimate of $5.02M across 3,091 theaters, a 22% drop that aligns with its recent stabilization pattern.** After opening at $123.5M and posting weekends of $90M, $51M, $31.7M, and $23.6M, the Christopher Nolan-directed Matt Damon epic has demonstrated strong legs with a 4.2x multiplier to date and sustained Imax interest that continues to support per-screen averages. Trader consensus reflects this predictable, gradual decline trajectory amid limited new competition, positioning the 18.5-20M band as the clear frontrunner while assigning only modest upside to 20-21.5M. The market’s tight distribution underscores confidence in the established hold pattern heading into the August 21-23 frame.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Odyssey" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
Volume
$63,544End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Odyssey" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**The primary driver behind the 87.5% implied probability on an 18.5-20M sixth weekend for *The Odyssey* is the film’s Friday estimate of $5.02M across 3,091 theaters, a 22% drop that aligns with its recent stabilization pattern.** After opening at $123.5M and posting weekends of $90M, $51M, $31.7M, and $23.6M, the Christopher Nolan-directed Matt Damon epic has demonstrated strong legs with a 4.2x multiplier to date and sustained Imax interest that continues to support per-screen averages. Trader consensus reflects this predictable, gradual decline trajectory amid limited new competition, positioning the 18.5-20M band as the clear frontrunner while assigning only modest upside to 20-21.5M. The market’s tight distribution underscores confidence in the established hold pattern heading into the August 21-23 frame.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Odyssey" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$63,544End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**The primary driver behind the 87.5% implied probability on an 18.5-20M sixth weekend for *The Odyssey* is the film’s Friday estimate of $5.02M across 3,091 theaters, a 22% drop that aligns with its recent stabilization pattern.** After opening at $123.5M and posting weekends of $90M, $51M, $31.7M, and $23.6M, the Christopher Nolan-directed Matt Damon epic has demonstrated strong legs with a 4.2x multiplier to date and sustained Imax interest that continues to support per-screen averages. Trader consensus reflects this predictable, gradual decline trajectory amid limited new competition, positioning the 18.5-20M band as the clear frontrunner while assigning only modest upside to 20-21.5M. The market’s tight distribution underscores confidence in the established hold pattern heading into the August 21-23 frame.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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