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Politics·Russia

Tuva Gubernatorial Election Winner

icon for Tuva Gubernatorial Election Winner
Politics·Russia

Tuva Gubernatorial Election Winner

Vladislav Khovalyg 96.5%

Yegor Chistyakov 1.4%

Aziat Chanzan 1.1%

Lodoy-Damba Kuular 1.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Vladislav Khovalyg 96.5%

Yegor Chistyakov 1.4%

Aziat Chanzan 1.1%

Lodoy-Damba Kuular 1.1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Vladislav Khovalyg

Vladislav Khovalyg

$511 Vol.

97%

icon for Yegor Chistyakov

Yegor Chistyakov

$263 Vol.

1%

icon for Aziat Chanzan

Aziat Chanzan

$47 Vol.

1%

icon for Lodoy-Damba Kuular

Lodoy-Damba Kuular

$169 Vol.

1%

icon for Artysh Irgit

Artysh Irgit

$190 Vol.

1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Tuva on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Tuva gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tuva and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tuva and the Central Election Commission of Russia.Vladislav Khovalyg holds a commanding 96.5% implied probability in the September 18–20, 2026 Tuva head election as the United Russia incumbent and acting head since his 2021 Kremlin appointment. Trader consensus reflects his federal backing, party nomination, and standard outcomes in Russian regional contests where aligned candidates consolidate support through administrative resources. A May 2026 working meeting with President Putin and regional economic indicators above national averages have reinforced expectations of continuity. Registered challengers including Yegor Chistyakov and Aziat Chanzan register minimal probabilities due to limited viability. Shifts remain possible from late federal decisions, health developments, or turnout anomalies, though institutional patterns make such changes unlikely before voting concludes.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Tuva on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Tuva gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tuva and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tuva and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$1,180
End Date
Sep 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Tuva on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Tuva gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tuva and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tuva and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Tuva on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Tuva gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tuva and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tuva and the Central Election Commission of Russia.Vladislav Khovalyg holds a commanding 96.5% implied probability in the September 18–20, 2026 Tuva head election as the United Russia incumbent and acting head since his 2021 Kremlin appointment. Trader consensus reflects his federal backing, party nomination, and standard outcomes in Russian regional contests where aligned candidates consolidate support through administrative resources. A May 2026 working meeting with President Putin and regional economic indicators above national averages have reinforced expectations of continuity. Registered challengers including Yegor Chistyakov and Aziat Chanzan register minimal probabilities due to limited viability. Shifts remain possible from late federal decisions, health developments, or turnout anomalies, though institutional patterns make such changes unlikely before voting concludes.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Tuva on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Tuva gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tuva and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tuva and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$1,180
End Date
Sep 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Tuva on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Tuva gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tuva and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tuva and the Central Election Commission of Russia.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Tuva Gubernatorial Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Vladislav Khovalyg" at 97%, followed by "Yegor Chistyakov" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Tuva Gubernatorial Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Tuva Gubernatorial Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Tuva Gubernatorial Election Winner" is "Vladislav Khovalyg" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Yegor Chistyakov" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Tuva Gubernatorial Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.