Incumbent Democrat Lizzie Pannill Fletcher faces Republican Alexander Hale and Green Party candidate Espoir Ngabo in the November 3, 2026, general election for Texas’s 7th congressional district. The seat’s D+13 Partisan Voter Index, diverse Houston-area demographics, and Fletcher’s prior victories have produced consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ. Primaries concluded months ago with Fletcher unopposed and Hale prevailing in the Republican runoff, leaving little recent movement. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as an incumbent health issue, major scandal, or unusually strong national Republican surge could still narrow the margin before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTX-07 House Election Winner
TX-07 House Election Winner
$21,108 Vol.
$21,108 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$21,108 Vol.
$21,108 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,168 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$8,940 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lizzie Pannill Fletcher faces Republican Alexander Hale and Green Party candidate Espoir Ngabo in the November 3, 2026, general election for Texas’s 7th congressional district. The seat’s D+13 Partisan Voter Index, diverse Houston-area demographics, and Fletcher’s prior victories have produced consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ. Primaries concluded months ago with Fletcher unopposed and Hale prevailing in the Republican runoff, leaving little recent movement. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as an incumbent health issue, major scandal, or unusually strong national Republican surge could still narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$21,108End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lizzie Pannill Fletcher faces Republican Alexander Hale and Green Party candidate Espoir Ngabo in the November 3, 2026, general election for Texas’s 7th congressional district. The seat’s D+13 Partisan Voter Index, diverse Houston-area demographics, and Fletcher’s prior victories have produced consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ. Primaries concluded months ago with Fletcher unopposed and Hale prevailing in the Republican runoff, leaving little recent movement. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as an incumbent health issue, major scandal, or unusually strong national Republican surge could still narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,108End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lizzie Pannill Fletcher faces Republican Alexander Hale and Green Party candidate Espoir Ngabo in the November 3, 2026, general election for Texas’s 7th congressional district. The seat’s D+13 Partisan Voter Index, diverse Houston-area demographics, and Fletcher’s prior victories have produced consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ. Primaries concluded months ago with Fletcher unopposed and Hale prevailing in the Republican runoff, leaving little recent movement. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as an incumbent health issue, major scandal, or unusually strong national Republican surge could still narrow the margin before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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