Washington's 7th congressional district, centered in Seattle, maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the country with a Partisan Voter Index of D+39. Incumbent Pramila Jayapal advanced from the August 4, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 84% of the vote against Republican Nirav Sheth and minor challengers, setting up a November 3 general election matchup. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with Jayapal's prior general election margins exceeding 80%. The district's voter base, combined with the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition, underpins trader consensus on the outcome. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or sustained national political realignment capable of eroding the district's structural Democratic advantage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWA-07 House Election Winner
WA-07 House Election Winner
$34,392 Vol.
$34,392 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
2%
$34,392 Vol.
$34,392 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,591 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$22,800 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 7th congressional district, centered in Seattle, maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the country with a Partisan Voter Index of D+39. Incumbent Pramila Jayapal advanced from the August 4, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 84% of the vote against Republican Nirav Sheth and minor challengers, setting up a November 3 general election matchup. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with Jayapal's prior general election margins exceeding 80%. The district's voter base, combined with the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition, underpins trader consensus on the outcome. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or sustained national political realignment capable of eroding the district's structural Democratic advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$34,392End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 7th congressional district, centered in Seattle, maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the country with a Partisan Voter Index of D+39. Incumbent Pramila Jayapal advanced from the August 4, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 84% of the vote against Republican Nirav Sheth and minor challengers, setting up a November 3 general election matchup. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with Jayapal's prior general election margins exceeding 80%. The district's voter base, combined with the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition, underpins trader consensus on the outcome. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or sustained national political realignment capable of eroding the district's structural Democratic advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$34,392End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 7th congressional district, centered in Seattle, maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the country with a Partisan Voter Index of D+39. Incumbent Pramila Jayapal advanced from the August 4, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 84% of the vote against Republican Nirav Sheth and minor challengers, setting up a November 3 general election matchup. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with Jayapal's prior general election margins exceeding 80%. The district's voter base, combined with the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition, underpins trader consensus on the outcome. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or sustained national political realignment capable of eroding the district's structural Democratic advantage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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