Democratic incumbent Emily Randall’s commanding 60% finish in Washington’s August 4 top-two primary, advancing against Republican Teresa Fox at 25%, has reinforced trader expectations for a Democratic hold in WA-06. The district’s consistent D+ lean, Randall’s substantial fundraising edge, and endorsements from state party figures underpin her position heading into the November 3 general election. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical results in this Olympic and Kitsap Peninsula area. A late national Republican surge, major scandal, or unusually depressed Democratic turnout could still narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain low-probability given current structural advantages.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWA-06 House Election Winner
WA-06 House Election Winner
$38,142 Vol.
$38,142 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$38,142 Vol.
$38,142 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,010 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$34,131 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Emily Randall’s commanding 60% finish in Washington’s August 4 top-two primary, advancing against Republican Teresa Fox at 25%, has reinforced trader expectations for a Democratic hold in WA-06. The district’s consistent D+ lean, Randall’s substantial fundraising edge, and endorsements from state party figures underpin her position heading into the November 3 general election. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical results in this Olympic and Kitsap Peninsula area. A late national Republican surge, major scandal, or unusually depressed Democratic turnout could still narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain low-probability given current structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$38,142End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Emily Randall’s commanding 60% finish in Washington’s August 4 top-two primary, advancing against Republican Teresa Fox at 25%, has reinforced trader expectations for a Democratic hold in WA-06. The district’s consistent D+ lean, Randall’s substantial fundraising edge, and endorsements from state party figures underpin her position heading into the November 3 general election. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical results in this Olympic and Kitsap Peninsula area. A late national Republican surge, major scandal, or unusually depressed Democratic turnout could still narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain low-probability given current structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,142End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Emily Randall’s commanding 60% finish in Washington’s August 4 top-two primary, advancing against Republican Teresa Fox at 25%, has reinforced trader expectations for a Democratic hold in WA-06. The district’s consistent D+ lean, Randall’s substantial fundraising edge, and endorsements from state party figures underpin her position heading into the November 3 general election. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical results in this Olympic and Kitsap Peninsula area. A late national Republican surge, major scandal, or unusually depressed Democratic turnout could still narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain low-probability given current structural advantages.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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