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What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Aug 25

Aug 25

The Last House 97.0%

Don't Say Good Luck 2.5%

Extinction <1%

Arthur the King <1%

Polymarket

$19,026 Vol.

The Last House 97.0%

Don't Say Good Luck 2.5%

Extinction <1%

Arthur the King <1%

Polymarket

$19,026 Vol.

icon for The Last House

The Last House

$11,642 Vol.

97%

icon for Don't Say Good Luck

Don't Say Good Luck

$3,703 Vol.

3%

icon for Extinction

Extinction

$981 Vol.

<1%

icon for Arthur the King

Arthur the King

$693 Vol.

<1%

icon for Freefall: A Reckoning for Boeing

Freefall: A Reckoning for Boeing

$515 Vol.

<1%

icon for To Catch a Cheater

To Catch a Cheater

$1,492 Vol.

<1%

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The Last House holds overwhelming market-implied odds for the #2 global Netflix movie this week due to its commanding viewership trajectory since debuting August 7. The sci-fi horror thriller, starring Greta Lee and Wagner Moura, logged 33.5 million views in a recent tracking week—more than four times the nearest competitor—driven by strong word-of-mouth, high completion rates, and Netflix’s aggressive promotion of its original. Precursor charts from FlixPatrol and Tudum consistently place it near the top, reflecting sustained audience engagement over older catalog titles and newer arrivals like Don’t Say Good Luck. An upset would require a sharp late-week decline in its hours viewed or an unexpected surge from a rival film coinciding with the chart lock.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$19,026
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 9:20 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The Last House holds overwhelming market-implied odds for the #2 global Netflix movie this week due to its commanding viewership trajectory since debuting August 7. The sci-fi horror thriller, starring Greta Lee and Wagner Moura, logged 33.5 million views in a recent tracking week—more than four times the nearest competitor—driven by strong word-of-mouth, high completion rates, and Netflix’s aggressive promotion of its original. Precursor charts from FlixPatrol and Tudum consistently place it near the top, reflecting sustained audience engagement over older catalog titles and newer arrivals like Don’t Say Good Luck. An upset would require a sharp late-week decline in its hours viewed or an unexpected surge from a rival film coinciding with the chart lock.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$19,026
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 9:20 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Last House" at 97%, followed by "Don't Say Good Luck" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" has generated $19K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" is "The Last House" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Don't Say Good Luck" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.