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icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Aug 25

Aug 25

Extinction 3.5%

To Catch a Cheater 3.1%

Don't Say Good Luck 2.6%

The Last House 2.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Extinction 3.5%

To Catch a Cheater 3.1%

Don't Say Good Luck 2.6%

The Last House 2.5%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Extinction

Extinction

$608 Vol.

4%

icon for To Catch a Cheater

To Catch a Cheater

$4,541 Vol.

3%

icon for Don't Say Good Luck

Don't Say Good Luck

$2,960 Vol.

3%

icon for The Last House

The Last House

$56 Vol.

3%

icon for Freefall: A Reckoning for Boeing

Freefall: A Reckoning for Boeing

$287 Vol.

2%

icon for Arthur the King

Arthur the King

$45 Vol.

2%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".New releases and algorithmic promotion are driving the tight race for Netflix's #2 US movie slot this week, with multiple titles posting comparable viewership in the opening days. Recent premieres like To Catch a Cheater and Don't Say Good Luck have climbed quickly on thriller and mystery appeal, while holdovers such as The Last House and Freefall: A Reckoning for Boeing maintain steady hours through broader genre draw and sustained marketing. Traders see limited separation because chart position hinges on daily viewing metrics that can shift with platform push, social buzz, or competition from fresh additions. Upcoming chart updates and any late-week premieres remain key swing factors in this evenly matched field.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$8,498
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 9:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".New releases and algorithmic promotion are driving the tight race for Netflix's #2 US movie slot this week, with multiple titles posting comparable viewership in the opening days. Recent premieres like To Catch a Cheater and Don't Say Good Luck have climbed quickly on thriller and mystery appeal, while holdovers such as The Last House and Freefall: A Reckoning for Boeing maintain steady hours through broader genre draw and sustained marketing. Traders see limited separation because chart position hinges on daily viewing metrics that can shift with platform push, social buzz, or competition from fresh additions. Upcoming chart updates and any late-week premieres remain key swing factors in this evenly matched field.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$8,498
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 9:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Extinction" at 4%, followed by "To Catch a Cheater" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 4¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 4% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is "Extinction" at just 4%, with "To Catch a Cheater" close behind at 3%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.