Trump has exercised broad clemency authority in his second term, issuing over 1,700 pardons and commutations by mid-2026, including a day-one mass grant covering roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants, proclamations shielding 2020 fake electors participants such as Rudy Giuliani, and actions favoring crypto figures, fraud defendants, and politically connected individuals. Trader consensus on remaining candidates before the December 31, 2026 resolution reflects patterns of loyalty to longtime allies, alignment with administration priorities like cryptocurrency enforcement relief, and access through donors or insiders rather than the traditional Department of Justice process. Key variables include any further actions tied to election-related cases, high-profile supporters, or figures whose profiles match recent grants, alongside the short timeline before midterms and year-end. Resolution hinges on official White House or Department of Justice records confirming new grants within the window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$427,350 Vol.
Ryan Salame
23%
Matt Gaetz
21%
Donald Brodie
19%
Keonne Rodriguez
19%
Roger Stone
16%
Steve Bannon
15%
Daniel Penny
14%
Young Thug
13%
Stefan Brodie
12%
Joe Exotic
9%
Eric Adams
9%
Derek Chauvin
9%
Bob Menendez
8%
Roger Ver
8%
Julian Assange
6%
Martin Shkreli
6%
Ghislaine Maxwell
6%
Nicolas Maduro
6%
Himself
5%
Andrew Tate
5%
Sam Bankman-Fried
4%
Elizabeth Holmes
4%
Edward Snowden
4%
Diddy
4%
Do Kwon
4%
Antoine Massey
3%
Hunter Biden
3%
Elon Musk
2%
$427,350 Vol.
Ryan Salame
23%
Matt Gaetz
21%
Donald Brodie
19%
Keonne Rodriguez
19%
Roger Stone
16%
Steve Bannon
15%
Daniel Penny
14%
Young Thug
13%
Stefan Brodie
12%
Joe Exotic
9%
Eric Adams
9%
Derek Chauvin
9%
Bob Menendez
8%
Roger Ver
8%
Julian Assange
6%
Martin Shkreli
6%
Ghislaine Maxwell
6%
Nicolas Maduro
6%
Himself
5%
Andrew Tate
5%
Sam Bankman-Fried
4%
Elizabeth Holmes
4%
Edward Snowden
4%
Diddy
4%
Do Kwon
4%
Antoine Massey
3%
Hunter Biden
3%
Elon Musk
2%
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump has exercised broad clemency authority in his second term, issuing over 1,700 pardons and commutations by mid-2026, including a day-one mass grant covering roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants, proclamations shielding 2020 fake electors participants such as Rudy Giuliani, and actions favoring crypto figures, fraud defendants, and politically connected individuals. Trader consensus on remaining candidates before the December 31, 2026 resolution reflects patterns of loyalty to longtime allies, alignment with administration priorities like cryptocurrency enforcement relief, and access through donors or insiders rather than the traditional Department of Justice process. Key variables include any further actions tied to election-related cases, high-profile supporters, or figures whose profiles match recent grants, alongside the short timeline before midterms and year-end. Resolution hinges on official White House or Department of Justice records confirming new grants within the window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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