Eric Barlow secured the Republican nomination for Wyoming governor in the August 18, 2026 primary, capturing roughly 45% of the vote against Superintendent Megan Degenfelder and other challengers in an open race to succeed term-limited incumbent Mark Gordon. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels tracks the certified primary outcome and Barlow’s established legislative record as a longtime state senator and former House speaker, which prevailed over high-profile endorsements for rivals and outside spending. With the general election set for November 3 against Democrat Kenneth Casner, the market implies limited realistic pathways for reversal absent major certification disputes or unforeseen procedural challenges in the coming weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJoseph Kibler <1%
Bo Biteman <1%
Chuck Gray <1%
Ogen Driskill <1%
$419,530 Vol.
$419,530 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
Joseph Kibler
<1%
Bo Biteman
<1%
Chuck Gray
<1%
Ogen Driskill
<1%
Harriet Hageman
<1%
Tara Nethercott
<1%
Paul Ulrich
<1%
Reid Rasner
<1%
Chip Neiman
<1%
Mark Gordon
<1%
Curt Meier
<1%
Cheri Steinmetz
<1%
Joseph Kibler <1%
Bo Biteman <1%
Chuck Gray <1%
Ogen Driskill <1%
$419,530 Vol.
$419,530 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
Joseph Kibler
$8,482 Vol.
<1%
Bo Biteman
$4,265 Vol.
<1%
Chuck Gray
$3,605 Vol.
<1%
Ogen Driskill
$2,279 Vol.
<1%
Harriet Hageman
$4,637 Vol.
<1%
Tara Nethercott
$3,524 Vol.
<1%
Paul Ulrich
$3,188 Vol.
<1%
Reid Rasner
$4,365 Vol.
<1%
Chip Neiman
$3,360 Vol.
<1%
Mark Gordon
$3,493 Vol.
<1%
Curt Meier
$2,795 Vol.
<1%
Cheri Steinmetz
$3,071 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wyoming, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Eric Barlow secured the Republican nomination for Wyoming governor in the August 18, 2026 primary, capturing roughly 45% of the vote against Superintendent Megan Degenfelder and other challengers in an open race to succeed term-limited incumbent Mark Gordon. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels tracks the certified primary outcome and Barlow’s established legislative record as a longtime state senator and former House speaker, which prevailed over high-profile endorsements for rivals and outside spending. With the general election set for November 3 against Democrat Kenneth Casner, the market implies limited realistic pathways for reversal absent major certification disputes or unforeseen procedural challenges in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wyoming, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Volume
$419,530End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wyoming, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Eric Barlow secured the Republican nomination for Wyoming governor in the August 18, 2026 primary, capturing roughly 45% of the vote against Superintendent Megan Degenfelder and other challengers in an open race to succeed term-limited incumbent Mark Gordon. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels tracks the certified primary outcome and Barlow’s established legislative record as a longtime state senator and former House speaker, which prevailed over high-profile endorsements for rivals and outside spending. With the general election set for November 3 against Democrat Kenneth Casner, the market implies limited realistic pathways for reversal absent major certification disputes or unforeseen procedural challenges in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wyoming, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$419,530End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Eric Barlow secured the Republican nomination for Wyoming governor in the August 18, 2026 primary, capturing roughly 45% of the vote against Superintendent Megan Degenfelder and other challengers in an open race to succeed term-limited incumbent Mark Gordon. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels tracks the certified primary outcome and Barlow’s established legislative record as a longtime state senator and former House speaker, which prevailed over high-profile endorsements for rivals and outside spending. With the general election set for November 3 against Democrat Kenneth Casner, the market implies limited realistic pathways for reversal absent major certification disputes or unforeseen procedural challenges in the coming weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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