**Chang Chia-chun (KMT) leads the Yunlin County Magistrate race at 84% implied probability, well ahead of DPP legislator Liu Chien-kuo (7%) and a field of other candidates mostly priced near 50%.** The Kuomintang selected Chang, a sitting legislator and relative of incumbent Magistrate Chang Li-shan, as its nominee in February 2026, citing continuity with the current administration’s policies on smart governance, agricultural upgrading, and sustainable tourism. Yunlin’s KMT branch and local networks have historically delivered strong turnout in county races, reinforced by the Chang family’s established presence. Liu’s DPP candidacy aims to challenge this base, but recent polling and party structures have kept his odds lower. Governance milestones under the incumbent—including national awards for smart-city initiatives, environmental programs, and international recognition in 2026—have bolstered perceptions of continuity for the KMT ticket. No major new catalysts have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving the race shaped by established party dynamics, candidate selection timing, and voter alignments ahead of the year-end vote. Minor or unannounced candidates remain at market midpoints pending further developments or withdrawals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2027
Chang Chia-chun
84%
Liu Chien-kuo
7%
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2027
Chang Chia-chun
$936 Vol.
84%
Liu Chien-kuo
$418 Vol.
7%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).**Chang Chia-chun (KMT) leads the Yunlin County Magistrate race at 84% implied probability, well ahead of DPP legislator Liu Chien-kuo (7%) and a field of other candidates mostly priced near 50%.** The Kuomintang selected Chang, a sitting legislator and relative of incumbent Magistrate Chang Li-shan, as its nominee in February 2026, citing continuity with the current administration’s policies on smart governance, agricultural upgrading, and sustainable tourism.
Yunlin’s KMT branch and local networks have historically delivered strong turnout in county races, reinforced by the Chang family’s established presence. Liu’s DPP candidacy aims to challenge this base, but recent polling and party structures have kept his odds lower. Governance milestones under the incumbent—including national awards for smart-city initiatives, environmental programs, and international recognition in 2026—have bolstered perceptions of continuity for the KMT ticket.
No major new catalysts have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving the race shaped by established party dynamics, candidate selection timing, and voter alignments ahead of the year-end vote. Minor or unannounced candidates remain at market midpoints pending further developments or withdrawals.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ET
Volume
$1,354End Date
Nov 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).**Chang Chia-chun (KMT) leads the Yunlin County Magistrate race at 84% implied probability, well ahead of DPP legislator Liu Chien-kuo (7%) and a field of other candidates mostly priced near 50%.** The Kuomintang selected Chang, a sitting legislator and relative of incumbent Magistrate Chang Li-shan, as its nominee in February 2026, citing continuity with the current administration’s policies on smart governance, agricultural upgrading, and sustainable tourism.
Yunlin’s KMT branch and local networks have historically delivered strong turnout in county races, reinforced by the Chang family’s established presence. Liu’s DPP candidacy aims to challenge this base, but recent polling and party structures have kept his odds lower. Governance milestones under the incumbent—including national awards for smart-city initiatives, environmental programs, and international recognition in 2026—have bolstered perceptions of continuity for the KMT ticket.
No major new catalysts have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving the race shaped by established party dynamics, candidate selection timing, and voter alignments ahead of the year-end vote. Minor or unannounced candidates remain at market midpoints pending further developments or withdrawals.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,354End Date
Nov 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Chang Chia-chun (KMT) leads the Yunlin County Magistrate race at 84% implied probability, well ahead of DPP legislator Liu Chien-kuo (7%) and a field of other candidates mostly priced near 50%.** The Kuomintang selected Chang, a sitting legislator and relative of incumbent Magistrate Chang Li-shan, as its nominee in February 2026, citing continuity with the current administration’s policies on smart governance, agricultural upgrading, and sustainable tourism. Yunlin’s KMT branch and local networks have historically delivered strong turnout in county races, reinforced by the Chang family’s established presence. Liu’s DPP candidacy aims to challenge this base, but recent polling and party structures have kept his odds lower. Governance milestones under the incumbent—including national awards for smart-city initiatives, environmental programs, and international recognition in 2026—have bolstered perceptions of continuity for the KMT ticket. No major new catalysts have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving the race shaped by established party dynamics, candidate selection timing, and voter alignments ahead of the year-end vote. Minor or unannounced candidates remain at market midpoints pending further developments or withdrawals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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