Ricardo Samaniego holds a commanding lead in the 2026 El Paso County Judge race as the Democratic incumbent seeking a third term on November 3. Traders price his victory at 95.5 percent, reflecting El Paso County's consistent Democratic voting patterns in countywide contests, his unopposed March primary win, and the absence of major recent controversies or shifts in local priorities such as economic development projects and border-related infrastructure. Minerva Torres Shelton, the Republican nominee who advanced from her party's primary, trails sharply at 3.5 percent amid limited GOP infrastructure in the area. While late developments like unexpected turnout swings or candidate-specific events could still alter outcomes before Election Day, the current pricing aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency and partisan baseline in this jurisdiction.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2026 El Paso County Judge Election Winner
2026 El Paso County Judge Election Winner
$24,926 Vol.
$24,926 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Ricardo Samaniego
96%
Minerva Torres Shelton
3%
$24,926 Vol.
$24,926 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Ricardo Samaniego
$20,013 Vol.
96%
Minerva Torres Shelton
$4,913 Vol.
3%
The 2026 El Paso County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of El Paso County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of El Paso County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and El Paso County.Ricardo Samaniego holds a commanding lead in the 2026 El Paso County Judge race as the Democratic incumbent seeking a third term on November 3. Traders price his victory at 95.5 percent, reflecting El Paso County's consistent Democratic voting patterns in countywide contests, his unopposed March primary win, and the absence of major recent controversies or shifts in local priorities such as economic development projects and border-related infrastructure. Minerva Torres Shelton, the Republican nominee who advanced from her party's primary, trails sharply at 3.5 percent amid limited GOP infrastructure in the area. While late developments like unexpected turnout swings or candidate-specific events could still alter outcomes before Election Day, the current pricing aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency and partisan baseline in this jurisdiction.
The 2026 El Paso County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of El Paso County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of El Paso County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and El Paso County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of El Paso County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and El Paso County.
Market Opened: Jun 26, 2026, 11:56 AM ET
Volume
$24,926End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 11:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 El Paso County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of El Paso County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of El Paso County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and El Paso County.Ricardo Samaniego holds a commanding lead in the 2026 El Paso County Judge race as the Democratic incumbent seeking a third term on November 3. Traders price his victory at 95.5 percent, reflecting El Paso County's consistent Democratic voting patterns in countywide contests, his unopposed March primary win, and the absence of major recent controversies or shifts in local priorities such as economic development projects and border-related infrastructure. Minerva Torres Shelton, the Republican nominee who advanced from her party's primary, trails sharply at 3.5 percent amid limited GOP infrastructure in the area. While late developments like unexpected turnout swings or candidate-specific events could still alter outcomes before Election Day, the current pricing aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency and partisan baseline in this jurisdiction.
The 2026 El Paso County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of El Paso County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of El Paso County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and El Paso County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of El Paso County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and El Paso County.
Volume
$24,926End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 11:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ricardo Samaniego holds a commanding lead in the 2026 El Paso County Judge race as the Democratic incumbent seeking a third term on November 3. Traders price his victory at 95.5 percent, reflecting El Paso County's consistent Democratic voting patterns in countywide contests, his unopposed March primary win, and the absence of major recent controversies or shifts in local priorities such as economic development projects and border-related infrastructure. Minerva Torres Shelton, the Republican nominee who advanced from her party's primary, trails sharply at 3.5 percent amid limited GOP infrastructure in the area. While late developments like unexpected turnout swings or candidate-specific events could still alter outcomes before Election Day, the current pricing aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency and partisan baseline in this jurisdiction.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions