Recent July 2026 data showing 33.8% year-over-year inflation, up modestly from June amid seasonal pressures, has kept trader focus on the pace of disinflation under Argentina’s fiscal surplus and monetary framework. Analyst consensus from IMF, OECD, and central bank surveys clusters end-2026 expectations near 30%, supporting the narrow contest between the 30.0-34.9% (52%) and 25-29.9% (43%) ranges. Monthly readings near 2% and lingering price inertia create swing factors around wage adjustments and policy continuity, while lower-probability bins reflect limited scope for sharper acceleration or rapid convergence below 25%. Market-implied odds thus embed current capital-weighted views on these near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated30.0-34.9% 52.0%
25-29.9% 43%
<20% 1.9%
45%+ 1.8%
$42,832 Vol.
$42,832 Vol.
Jan 9, 2027
<20%
2%
20-24.9%
2%
25-29.9%
43%
30.0-34.9%
52%
35–39.9%
<1%
40-44.9%
1%
45%+
2%
30.0-34.9% 52.0%
25-29.9% 43%
<20% 1.9%
45%+ 1.8%
$42,832 Vol.
$42,832 Vol.
Jan 9, 2027
<20%
$4,648 Vol.
2%
20-24.9%
$3,216 Vol.
2%
25-29.9%
$12,713 Vol.
43%
30.0-34.9%
$11,894 Vol.
52%
35–39.9%
$3,367 Vol.
<1%
40-44.9%
$3,553 Vol.
1%
45%+
$3,439 Vol.
2%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent July 2026 data showing 33.8% year-over-year inflation, up modestly from June amid seasonal pressures, has kept trader focus on the pace of disinflation under Argentina’s fiscal surplus and monetary framework. Analyst consensus from IMF, OECD, and central bank surveys clusters end-2026 expectations near 30%, supporting the narrow contest between the 30.0-34.9% (52%) and 25-29.9% (43%) ranges. Monthly readings near 2% and lingering price inertia create swing factors around wage adjustments and policy continuity, while lower-probability bins reflect limited scope for sharper acceleration or rapid convergence below 25%. Market-implied odds thus embed current capital-weighted views on these near-term catalysts.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Volume
$42,832End Date
Jan 10, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent July 2026 data showing 33.8% year-over-year inflation, up modestly from June amid seasonal pressures, has kept trader focus on the pace of disinflation under Argentina’s fiscal surplus and monetary framework. Analyst consensus from IMF, OECD, and central bank surveys clusters end-2026 expectations near 30%, supporting the narrow contest between the 30.0-34.9% (52%) and 25-29.9% (43%) ranges. Monthly readings near 2% and lingering price inertia create swing factors around wage adjustments and policy continuity, while lower-probability bins reflect limited scope for sharper acceleration or rapid convergence below 25%. Market-implied odds thus embed current capital-weighted views on these near-term catalysts.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$42,832End Date
Jan 10, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent July 2026 data showing 33.8% year-over-year inflation, up modestly from June amid seasonal pressures, has kept trader focus on the pace of disinflation under Argentina’s fiscal surplus and monetary framework. Analyst consensus from IMF, OECD, and central bank surveys clusters end-2026 expectations near 30%, supporting the narrow contest between the 30.0-34.9% (52%) and 25-29.9% (43%) ranges. Monthly readings near 2% and lingering price inertia create swing factors around wage adjustments and policy continuity, while lower-probability bins reflect limited scope for sharper acceleration or rapid convergence below 25%. Market-implied odds thus embed current capital-weighted views on these near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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