Cilia Flores, wife of former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, has remained in U.S. federal detention in Brooklyn since U.S. forces captured the couple in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military operation. Both face narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York following a superseding indictment; they pleaded not guilty at arraignment and have not sought bail. Pretrial hearings have proceeded with delays, and a judge set their trial for June 2027. Market positioning on the authority or timing of any release reflects trader assessments of U.S. judicial outcomes, potential executive actions, diplomatic developments, or prolonged detention amid ongoing proceedings. Further court dates within the resolution window could shift probabilities on resolution pathways.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMaduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?
Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?
$1,375,033 Vol.
Jan 30, 2026
December 31
16%
$1,375,033 Vol.
December 31
$328,431 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores, wife of former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, has remained in U.S. federal detention in Brooklyn since U.S. forces captured the couple in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military operation. Both face narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York following a superseding indictment; they pleaded not guilty at arraignment and have not sought bail. Pretrial hearings have proceeded with delays, and a judge set their trial for June 2027. Market positioning on the authority or timing of any release reflects trader assessments of U.S. judicial outcomes, potential executive actions, diplomatic developments, or prolonged detention amid ongoing proceedings. Further court dates within the resolution window could shift probabilities on resolution pathways.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Volume
$1,375,033End Date
Jan 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores, wife of former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, has remained in U.S. federal detention in Brooklyn since U.S. forces captured the couple in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military operation. Both face narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York following a superseding indictment; they pleaded not guilty at arraignment and have not sought bail. Pretrial hearings have proceeded with delays, and a judge set their trial for June 2027. Market positioning on the authority or timing of any release reflects trader assessments of U.S. judicial outcomes, potential executive actions, diplomatic developments, or prolonged detention amid ongoing proceedings. Further court dates within the resolution window could shift probabilities on resolution pathways.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,375,033End Date
Jan 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Cilia Flores, wife of former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, has remained in U.S. federal detention in Brooklyn since U.S. forces captured the couple in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military operation. Both face narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York following a superseding indictment; they pleaded not guilty at arraignment and have not sought bail. Pretrial hearings have proceeded with delays, and a judge set their trial for June 2027. Market positioning on the authority or timing of any release reflects trader assessments of U.S. judicial outcomes, potential executive actions, diplomatic developments, or prolonged detention amid ongoing proceedings. Further court dates within the resolution window could shift probabilities on resolution pathways.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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