Costco’s iconic $1.50 hot dog and soda combo has remained unchanged since 1984, and recent executive statements continue to anchor trader sentiment against any price hike before 2027. CEO Ron Vachris reaffirmed in early 2026 that the price “will not change as long as I’m around,” echoing prior leadership vows treating the item as a permanent loss leader and brand promise. The April 2026 addition of a bottled-water option alongside the traditional soda further demonstrated flexibility without touching the sticker price. While rising beef costs have sparked minor shrinkflation speculation in recent months, the company’s track record and public commitments sustain the overwhelming “no” consensus at 91.5% implied probability. A sudden leadership shift or extreme commodity spike could theoretically alter the outlook, yet historical precedent makes such a move unlikely in the near term.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated9% chance
$10,309 Vol.
$10,309 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
9% chance
$10,309 Vol.
$10,309 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Costco’s iconic $1.50 hot dog and soda combo has remained unchanged since 1984, and recent executive statements continue to anchor trader sentiment against any price hike before 2027. CEO Ron Vachris reaffirmed in early 2026 that the price “will not change as long as I’m around,” echoing prior leadership vows treating the item as a permanent loss leader and brand promise. The April 2026 addition of a bottled-water option alongside the traditional soda further demonstrated flexibility without touching the sticker price. While rising beef costs have sparked minor shrinkflation speculation in recent months, the company’s track record and public commitments sustain the overwhelming “no” consensus at 91.5% implied probability. A sudden leadership shift or extreme commodity spike could theoretically alter the outlook, yet historical precedent makes such a move unlikely in the near term.
Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 2, 2025, 6:24 PM ET
Volume
$10,309End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Costco’s iconic $1.50 hot dog and soda combo has remained unchanged since 1984, and recent executive statements continue to anchor trader sentiment against any price hike before 2027. CEO Ron Vachris reaffirmed in early 2026 that the price “will not change as long as I’m around,” echoing prior leadership vows treating the item as a permanent loss leader and brand promise. The April 2026 addition of a bottled-water option alongside the traditional soda further demonstrated flexibility without touching the sticker price. While rising beef costs have sparked minor shrinkflation speculation in recent months, the company’s track record and public commitments sustain the overwhelming “no” consensus at 91.5% implied probability. A sudden leadership shift or extreme commodity spike could theoretically alter the outlook, yet historical precedent makes such a move unlikely in the near term.
Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$10,309End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Costco’s iconic $1.50 hot dog and soda combo has remained unchanged since 1984, and recent executive statements continue to anchor trader sentiment against any price hike before 2027. CEO Ron Vachris reaffirmed in early 2026 that the price “will not change as long as I’m around,” echoing prior leadership vows treating the item as a permanent loss leader and brand promise. The April 2026 addition of a bottled-water option alongside the traditional soda further demonstrated flexibility without touching the sticker price. While rising beef costs have sparked minor shrinkflation speculation in recent months, the company’s track record and public commitments sustain the overwhelming “no” consensus at 91.5% implied probability. A sudden leadership shift or extreme commodity spike could theoretically alter the outlook, yet historical precedent makes such a move unlikely in the near term.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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