David Jolly captured the Democratic nomination for Florida governor in the August 18, 2026 primary by securing roughly 61 percent of the vote, well ahead of his nearest rivals, reflecting broad party consensus around his background as a former Republican congressman who switched parties in 2025 and ran a moderate campaign focused on affordability and insurance reform. Traders priced in this commanding position after Jolly consolidated support quickly following his June 2025 announcement and selection of Gwen Graham as running mate, leaving little room for lesser-known challengers in a low-turnout contest. With the primary concluded and results projected by major outlets, the implied probability remains near certainty barring any unforeseen certification disputes or recounts, though late procedural developments could still shift the final tally in a crowded field of minor candidates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDavid Jolly 100.0%
Jerry Demings <1%
Shevrin Jones <1%
Jason Pizzo <1%
$48,285 Vol.
$48,285 Vol.
David Jolly
100%
Jerry Demings
<1%
Shevrin Jones
<1%
Jason Pizzo
<1%
Daniella Levine Cava
<1%
Angie Nixon
<1%
Fentrice Driskell
<1%
Gwen Graham
<1%
David Jolly 100.0%
Jerry Demings <1%
Shevrin Jones <1%
Jason Pizzo <1%
$48,285 Vol.
$48,285 Vol.
David Jolly
100%
Jerry Demings
<1%
Shevrin Jones
<1%
Jason Pizzo
<1%
Daniella Levine Cava
<1%
Angie Nixon
<1%
Fentrice Driskell
<1%
Gwen Graham
<1%
If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Nov 25, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
David Jolly captured the Democratic nomination for Florida governor in the August 18, 2026 primary by securing roughly 61 percent of the vote, well ahead of his nearest rivals, reflecting broad party consensus around his background as a former Republican congressman who switched parties in 2025 and ran a moderate campaign focused on affordability and insurance reform. Traders priced in this commanding position after Jolly consolidated support quickly following his June 2025 announcement and selection of Gwen Graham as running mate, leaving little room for lesser-known challengers in a low-turnout contest. With the primary concluded and results projected by major outlets, the implied probability remains near certainty barring any unforeseen certification disputes or recounts, though late procedural developments could still shift the final tally in a crowded field of minor candidates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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