Recent high-volume posting days, including 63 tweets on August 22 and multiple engagements on the 23rd, have anchored trader focus on Elon Musk’s sustained X activity amid ongoing SpaceX updates, political commentary, and cultural discussions. With roughly eight days remaining, the tight clustering around 840–959 reflects uncertainty over daily averages—historically fluctuating between 15–40 but spiking with breaking events—versus quieter periods. Market-implied odds favor the 880–919 bin at 23.5% as the consensus midpoint, driven by verified recent output rather than speculation, while adjacent ranges capture swing potential from any late-month news surges or lulls. Precedent from prior monthly totals underscores how unpredictable engagement spikes can shift final tallies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated880-919 24%
840-879 19.6%
920-959 17.8%
960-999 12.0%
$287,420 Vol.
$287,420 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
1%
760-779
1%
780-799
3%
800-839
11%
840-879
20%
880-919
24%
920-959
18%
960-999
12%
1000+
11%
880-919 24%
840-879 19.6%
920-959 17.8%
960-999 12.0%
$287,420 Vol.
$287,420 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
660-679
$6,147 Vol.
<1%
680-699
$8,201 Vol.
<1%
700-719
$10,524 Vol.
<1%
720-739
$12,351 Vol.
<1%
740-759
$9,522 Vol.
1%
760-779
$12,386 Vol.
1%
780-799
$9,591 Vol.
3%
800-839
$10,048 Vol.
11%
840-879
$9,536 Vol.
20%
880-919
$12,453 Vol.
24%
920-959
$13,224 Vol.
18%
960-999
$19,211 Vol.
12%
1000+
$13,116 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent high-volume posting days, including 63 tweets on August 22 and multiple engagements on the 23rd, have anchored trader focus on Elon Musk’s sustained X activity amid ongoing SpaceX updates, political commentary, and cultural discussions. With roughly eight days remaining, the tight clustering around 840–959 reflects uncertainty over daily averages—historically fluctuating between 15–40 but spiking with breaking events—versus quieter periods. Market-implied odds favor the 880–919 bin at 23.5% as the consensus midpoint, driven by verified recent output rather than speculation, while adjacent ranges capture swing potential from any late-month news surges or lulls. Precedent from prior monthly totals underscores how unpredictable engagement spikes can shift final tallies.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$287,420End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent high-volume posting days, including 63 tweets on August 22 and multiple engagements on the 23rd, have anchored trader focus on Elon Musk’s sustained X activity amid ongoing SpaceX updates, political commentary, and cultural discussions. With roughly eight days remaining, the tight clustering around 840–959 reflects uncertainty over daily averages—historically fluctuating between 15–40 but spiking with breaking events—versus quieter periods. Market-implied odds favor the 880–919 bin at 23.5% as the consensus midpoint, driven by verified recent output rather than speculation, while adjacent ranges capture swing potential from any late-month news surges or lulls. Precedent from prior monthly totals underscores how unpredictable engagement spikes can shift final tallies.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$287,420End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-volume posting days, including 63 tweets on August 22 and multiple engagements on the 23rd, have anchored trader focus on Elon Musk’s sustained X activity amid ongoing SpaceX updates, political commentary, and cultural discussions. With roughly eight days remaining, the tight clustering around 840–959 reflects uncertainty over daily averages—historically fluctuating between 15–40 but spiking with breaking events—versus quieter periods. Market-implied odds favor the 880–919 bin at 23.5% as the consensus midpoint, driven by verified recent output rather than speculation, while adjacent ranges capture swing potential from any late-month news surges or lulls. Precedent from prior monthly totals underscores how unpredictable engagement spikes can shift final tallies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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