Elon Musk’s posting volume on X typically clusters around 25–35 tweets per day during routine weeks, placing the market’s tightest odds on the 180–239 range. Trader consensus reflects this baseline activity, tempered by the absence of major catalysts such as Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, or high-profile political statements in the current window. Momentum can shift quickly with breaking news or viral threads, but historical data shows steady mid-week output rather than extreme spikes unless external events intervene. The narrow spread among leading buckets underscores how small daily fluctuations in engagement or schedule changes could decide the final tally before August 28.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated200-219 19%
180-199 17%
220-239 17%
240-259 14%
$585,337 Vol.
$585,337 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
4%
160-179
10%
180-199
17%
200-219
19%
220-239
17%
240-259
14%
260-279
9%
280-299
5%
300-319
3%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 19%
180-199 17%
220-239 17%
240-259 14%
$585,337 Vol.
$585,337 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
60-79
$18,277 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$30,692 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$31,115 Vol.
<1%
120-139
$25,669 Vol.
1%
140-159
$29,351 Vol.
4%
160-179
$23,522 Vol.
10%
180-199
$18,498 Vol.
17%
200-219
$12,115 Vol.
19%
220-239
$5,147 Vol.
17%
240-259
$6,154 Vol.
14%
260-279
$8,489 Vol.
9%
280-299
$17,174 Vol.
5%
300-319
$16,962 Vol.
3%
320-339
$18,666 Vol.
1%
340-359
$22,243 Vol.
1%
360-379
$14,858 Vol.
1%
380-399
$40,288 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$34,185 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$27,892 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$32,182 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$30,812 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$32,393 Vol.
<1%
500+
$56,878 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 21 12:00 PM ET to August 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting volume on X typically clusters around 25–35 tweets per day during routine weeks, placing the market’s tightest odds on the 180–239 range. Trader consensus reflects this baseline activity, tempered by the absence of major catalysts such as Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, or high-profile political statements in the current window. Momentum can shift quickly with breaking news or viral threads, but historical data shows steady mid-week output rather than extreme spikes unless external events intervene. The narrow spread among leading buckets underscores how small daily fluctuations in engagement or schedule changes could decide the final tally before August 28.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 21 12:00 PM ET to August 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$585,337End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 21 12:00 PM ET to August 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting volume on X typically clusters around 25–35 tweets per day during routine weeks, placing the market’s tightest odds on the 180–239 range. Trader consensus reflects this baseline activity, tempered by the absence of major catalysts such as Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, or high-profile political statements in the current window. Momentum can shift quickly with breaking news or viral threads, but historical data shows steady mid-week output rather than extreme spikes unless external events intervene. The narrow spread among leading buckets underscores how small daily fluctuations in engagement or schedule changes could decide the final tally before August 28.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 21 12:00 PM ET to August 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$585,337End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s posting volume on X typically clusters around 25–35 tweets per day during routine weeks, placing the market’s tightest odds on the 180–239 range. Trader consensus reflects this baseline activity, tempered by the absence of major catalysts such as Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, or high-profile political statements in the current window. Momentum can shift quickly with breaking news or viral threads, but historical data shows steady mid-week output rather than extreme spikes unless external events intervene. The narrow spread among leading buckets underscores how small daily fluctuations in engagement or schedule changes could decide the final tally before August 28.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions