Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clear leader for Elon Musk’s activity from August 22-24 because his recent daily output has settled into a moderate pattern without major catalysts. Weekday averages near 34 posts and lower weekend figures align with this band, especially over a Friday-to-Sunday window that historically shows reduced volume. Recent SpaceX earnings discussion and Starship updates have not triggered the sustained spikes seen in higher-intensity periods, keeping extreme ranges like 90+ at minimal implied probability. The close contest with the sub-40 bucket reflects ongoing uncertainty around any late-week platform or company developments that could alter posting pace before the period closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated40-64 54%
<40 40%
65-89 6%
90-114 <1%
$342,038 Vol.
$342,038 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
<40
40%
40-64
54%
65-89
6%
90-114
1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 54%
<40 40%
65-89 6%
90-114 <1%
$342,038 Vol.
$342,038 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
<40
$52,463 Vol.
40%
40-64
$32,623 Vol.
54%
65-89
$38,245 Vol.
6%
90-114
$68,745 Vol.
1%
115-139
$62,431 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$29,495 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$31,020 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$14,520 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$8,044 Vol.
<1%
240+
$4,452 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clear leader for Elon Musk’s activity from August 22-24 because his recent daily output has settled into a moderate pattern without major catalysts. Weekday averages near 34 posts and lower weekend figures align with this band, especially over a Friday-to-Sunday window that historically shows reduced volume. Recent SpaceX earnings discussion and Starship updates have not triggered the sustained spikes seen in higher-intensity periods, keeping extreme ranges like 90+ at minimal implied probability. The close contest with the sub-40 bucket reflects ongoing uncertainty around any late-week platform or company developments that could alter posting pace before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$342,038End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clear leader for Elon Musk’s activity from August 22-24 because his recent daily output has settled into a moderate pattern without major catalysts. Weekday averages near 34 posts and lower weekend figures align with this band, especially over a Friday-to-Sunday window that historically shows reduced volume. Recent SpaceX earnings discussion and Starship updates have not triggered the sustained spikes seen in higher-intensity periods, keeping extreme ranges like 90+ at minimal implied probability. The close contest with the sub-40 bucket reflects ongoing uncertainty around any late-week platform or company developments that could alter posting pace before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$342,038End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clear leader for Elon Musk’s activity from August 22-24 because his recent daily output has settled into a moderate pattern without major catalysts. Weekday averages near 34 posts and lower weekend figures align with this band, especially over a Friday-to-Sunday window that historically shows reduced volume. Recent SpaceX earnings discussion and Starship updates have not triggered the sustained spikes seen in higher-intensity periods, keeping extreme ranges like 90+ at minimal implied probability. The close contest with the sub-40 bucket reflects ongoing uncertainty around any late-week platform or company developments that could alter posting pace before the period closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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