Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume posting on X, frequently exceeding 15–25 tweets daily amid ongoing commentary on politics, technology, and current events, anchors trader consensus around the 40–64 tweet range for the August 24–26 window at 41.5% implied probability. Recent activity through August 23 shows sustained engagement without major disruptions from travel or platform issues, supporting the next bin at 65–89 (27.5%). Weekend timing typically sustains momentum as Musk responds to real-time news cycles, though lower bins gain traction if engagement dips. No verified catalysts point to unusual spikes or lulls, leaving the distribution centered on his baseline social media cadence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated40-64 42%
65-89 28%
<40 23%
90-114 7.7%
NEW
$10,847 Vol.
NEW
$10,847 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
<40
23%
40-64
42%
65-89
28%
90-114
8%
115-139
3%
140-164
1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
1%
240+
<1%
40-64 42%
65-89 28%
<40 23%
90-114 7.7%
NEW
$10,847 Vol.
NEW
$10,847 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
<40
$1,908 Vol.
23%
40-64
$1,152 Vol.
42%
65-89
$1,433 Vol.
28%
90-114
$1,327 Vol.
8%
115-139
$1,222 Vol.
3%
140-164
$1,425 Vol.
1%
165-189
$431 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$774 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$349 Vol.
1%
240+
$1,017 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 24 12:00 PM ET to August 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume posting on X, frequently exceeding 15–25 tweets daily amid ongoing commentary on politics, technology, and current events, anchors trader consensus around the 40–64 tweet range for the August 24–26 window at 41.5% implied probability. Recent activity through August 23 shows sustained engagement without major disruptions from travel or platform issues, supporting the next bin at 65–89 (27.5%). Weekend timing typically sustains momentum as Musk responds to real-time news cycles, though lower bins gain traction if engagement dips. No verified catalysts point to unusual spikes or lulls, leaving the distribution centered on his baseline social media cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 24 12:00 PM ET to August 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$10,847End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 24 12:00 PM ET to August 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume posting on X, frequently exceeding 15–25 tweets daily amid ongoing commentary on politics, technology, and current events, anchors trader consensus around the 40–64 tweet range for the August 24–26 window at 41.5% implied probability. Recent activity through August 23 shows sustained engagement without major disruptions from travel or platform issues, supporting the next bin at 65–89 (27.5%). Weekend timing typically sustains momentum as Musk responds to real-time news cycles, though lower bins gain traction if engagement dips. No verified catalysts point to unusual spikes or lulls, leaving the distribution centered on his baseline social media cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 24 12:00 PM ET to August 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$10,847End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume posting on X, frequently exceeding 15–25 tweets daily amid ongoing commentary on politics, technology, and current events, anchors trader consensus around the 40–64 tweet range for the August 24–26 window at 41.5% implied probability. Recent activity through August 23 shows sustained engagement without major disruptions from travel or platform issues, supporting the next bin at 65–89 (27.5%). Weekend timing typically sustains momentum as Musk responds to real-time news cycles, though lower bins gain traction if engagement dips. No verified catalysts point to unusual spikes or lulls, leaving the distribution centered on his baseline social media cadence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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