Jim Schwartzel secured the Republican nomination for Florida’s 19th Congressional District in the August 18 primary with roughly 29 percent of the vote, outpacing Trump-endorsed Catalina Lauf at 22 percent and the rest of a ten-candidate field. The open seat, vacated by Byron Donalds’ gubernatorial bid, drew multiple out-of-state challengers including former Representatives Madison Cawthorn and Chris Collins, yet Schwartzel’s local roots, early-vote strength in Lee and Collier counties, and America First positioning proved decisive. Trump’s late endorsement of Lauf failed to close the gap. With the primary concluded and results certified, trader consensus reflects the finalized outcome ahead of the solidly Republican general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMadison Cawthorn <1%
Bob Rommel <1%
Spencer Roach <1%
$192,734 Vol.
$192,734 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
Madison Cawthorn
<1%
Bob Rommel
<1%
Spencer Roach
<1%
Madison Cawthorn <1%
Bob Rommel <1%
Spencer Roach <1%
$192,734 Vol.
$192,734 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
Madison Cawthorn
$11,171 Vol.
<1%
Bob Rommel
$20,322 Vol.
<1%
Spencer Roach
$18,838 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jim Schwartzel secured the Republican nomination for Florida’s 19th Congressional District in the August 18 primary with roughly 29 percent of the vote, outpacing Trump-endorsed Catalina Lauf at 22 percent and the rest of a ten-candidate field. The open seat, vacated by Byron Donalds’ gubernatorial bid, drew multiple out-of-state challengers including former Representatives Madison Cawthorn and Chris Collins, yet Schwartzel’s local roots, early-vote strength in Lee and Collier counties, and America First positioning proved decisive. Trump’s late endorsement of Lauf failed to close the gap. With the primary concluded and results certified, trader consensus reflects the finalized outcome ahead of the solidly Republican general election.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Volume
$192,734End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jim Schwartzel secured the Republican nomination for Florida’s 19th Congressional District in the August 18 primary with roughly 29 percent of the vote, outpacing Trump-endorsed Catalina Lauf at 22 percent and the rest of a ten-candidate field. The open seat, vacated by Byron Donalds’ gubernatorial bid, drew multiple out-of-state challengers including former Representatives Madison Cawthorn and Chris Collins, yet Schwartzel’s local roots, early-vote strength in Lee and Collier counties, and America First positioning proved decisive. Trump’s late endorsement of Lauf failed to close the gap. With the primary concluded and results certified, trader consensus reflects the finalized outcome ahead of the solidly Republican general election.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$192,734End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Jim Schwartzel secured the Republican nomination for Florida’s 19th Congressional District in the August 18 primary with roughly 29 percent of the vote, outpacing Trump-endorsed Catalina Lauf at 22 percent and the rest of a ten-candidate field. The open seat, vacated by Byron Donalds’ gubernatorial bid, drew multiple out-of-state challengers including former Representatives Madison Cawthorn and Chris Collins, yet Schwartzel’s local roots, early-vote strength in Lee and Collier counties, and America First positioning proved decisive. Trump’s late endorsement of Lauf failed to close the gap. With the primary concluded and results certified, trader consensus reflects the finalized outcome ahead of the solidly Republican general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions