Beatriz Mojica Morga holds the lead among traders at 45.1% for the 2027 Guerrero governorship, ahead of Esthela Damián Peralta at 22.5%, with the field fragmented among more than two dozen other Morena-aligned aspirants. The tight pricing reflects an unusually large pool of registered contenders in the party's internal process, where selection will hinge on surveys and coalition negotiations rather than a single dominant figure. Mojica benefits from established local networks and prior Senate experience, while Damián draws visibility from her recent federal role, yet neither has consolidated broad backing amid competing factions tied to state operators and national leadership. Further movement could come from Morena's next round of internal polling, public endorsements, or shifts in Acapulco and Chilpancingo support bases ahead of the 2027 general election, where the eventual nominee is expected to face limited opposition.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeatriz Mojica Morga 45.1%
Esthela Damián Peralta 22.3%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz 5.3%
Mario Moreno Arcos 4.4%
$21,010 Vol.
$21,010 Vol.
Beatriz Mojica Morga
45%
Esthela Damián Peralta
22%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
5%
Mario Moreno Arcos
4%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
4%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
4%
Manuel Añorve Baños
3%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
3%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
2%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
2%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
1%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
1%
Iván Hernández Díaz
1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
1%
Erika Lorena Lührs
1%
Alberto López Rosas
1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
1%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
1%
Julián López Galeana
1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
<1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Beatriz Mojica Morga 45.1%
Esthela Damián Peralta 22.3%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz 5.3%
Mario Moreno Arcos 4.4%
$21,010 Vol.
$21,010 Vol.
Beatriz Mojica Morga
45%
Esthela Damián Peralta
22%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
5%
Mario Moreno Arcos
4%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
4%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
4%
Manuel Añorve Baños
3%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
3%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
2%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
2%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
1%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
1%
Iván Hernández Díaz
1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
1%
Erika Lorena Lührs
1%
Alberto López Rosas
1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
1%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
1%
Julián López Galeana
1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
<1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Beatriz Mojica Morga holds the lead among traders at 45.1% for the 2027 Guerrero governorship, ahead of Esthela Damián Peralta at 22.5%, with the field fragmented among more than two dozen other Morena-aligned aspirants. The tight pricing reflects an unusually large pool of registered contenders in the party's internal process, where selection will hinge on surveys and coalition negotiations rather than a single dominant figure. Mojica benefits from established local networks and prior Senate experience, while Damián draws visibility from her recent federal role, yet neither has consolidated broad backing amid competing factions tied to state operators and national leadership. Further movement could come from Morena's next round of internal polling, public endorsements, or shifts in Acapulco and Chilpancingo support bases ahead of the 2027 general election, where the eventual nominee is expected to face limited opposition.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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