The 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial race, scheduled for June 6, remains highly fluid with trader probabilities reflecting an open field nearly nine months before voting. Beatriz Mojica Morga leads individual candidates at 45.1% amid her positioning as Morena’s frontrunner after leaving the Senate, internal party surveys showing her ahead in preference polling, and efforts to consolidate support for the nomination. Esthela Damián Peralta follows at 20.2%, while the broader slate of more than two dozen named contenders and “Other” options fragment the remainder. No party nominations are finalized, alliances are still forming, and turnout dynamics or late endorsements could shift momentum ahead of primary processes and the general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeatriz Mojica Morga 45.1%
Esthela Damián Peralta 20.2%
Mario Moreno Arcos 4.4%
Guadalupe Eguiluz 4.2%
$21,010 Vol.
$21,010 Vol.

Beatriz Mojica Morga
45%

Esthela Damián Peralta
20%

Mario Moreno Arcos
4%

Guadalupe Eguiluz
4%

Manuel Añorve Baños
4%

Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
3%

Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
3%

Eloy Salmerón Díaz
2%

Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
1%

Javier Saldaña Almazán
1%

Iván Hernández Díaz
1%

Rogelio Ortega Martínez
1%

Erika Lorena Lührs
1%

Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
1%

Alberto López Rosas
1%

Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
1%

Héctor Astudillo Flores
1%

Yesenia Galarza Castro
1%

Julián López Galeana
1%

Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%

Karen Castrejón Trujillo
<1%

Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%

Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%

Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%

Rubén Cayetano García
<1%

Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%

Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%

Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Beatriz Mojica Morga 45.1%
Esthela Damián Peralta 20.2%
Mario Moreno Arcos 4.4%
Guadalupe Eguiluz 4.2%
$21,010 Vol.
$21,010 Vol.

Beatriz Mojica Morga
45%

Esthela Damián Peralta
20%

Mario Moreno Arcos
4%

Guadalupe Eguiluz
4%

Manuel Añorve Baños
4%

Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
3%

Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
3%

Eloy Salmerón Díaz
2%

Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
1%

Javier Saldaña Almazán
1%

Iván Hernández Díaz
1%

Rogelio Ortega Martínez
1%

Erika Lorena Lührs
1%

Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
1%

Alberto López Rosas
1%

Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
1%

Héctor Astudillo Flores
1%

Yesenia Galarza Castro
1%

Julián López Galeana
1%

Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%

Karen Castrejón Trujillo
<1%

Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%

Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%

Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%

Rubén Cayetano García
<1%

Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%

Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%

Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial race, scheduled for June 6, remains highly fluid with trader probabilities reflecting an open field nearly nine months before voting. Beatriz Mojica Morga leads individual candidates at 45.1% amid her positioning as Morena’s frontrunner after leaving the Senate, internal party surveys showing her ahead in preference polling, and efforts to consolidate support for the nomination. Esthela Damián Peralta follows at 20.2%, while the broader slate of more than two dozen named contenders and “Other” options fragment the remainder. No party nominations are finalized, alliances are still forming, and turnout dynamics or late endorsements could shift momentum ahead of primary processes and the general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions