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icon for Guerrero Governor Election Winner

Guerrero Governor Election Winner

icon for Guerrero Governor Election Winner

Guerrero Governor Election Winner

Beatriz Mojica Morga 45.1%

Esthela Damián Peralta 20.2%

Mario Moreno Arcos 4.4%

Guadalupe Eguiluz 4.2%

Polymarket

$21,010 Vol.

Beatriz Mojica Morga 45.1%

Esthela Damián Peralta 20.2%

Mario Moreno Arcos 4.4%

Guadalupe Eguiluz 4.2%

Polymarket

$21,010 Vol.

icon for Beatriz Mojica Morga

Beatriz Mojica Morga

$8,623 Vol.

45%

icon for Esthela Damián Peralta

Esthela Damián Peralta

$1,329 Vol.

20%

icon for Mario Moreno Arcos

Mario Moreno Arcos

$318 Vol.

4%

icon for Guadalupe Eguiluz

Guadalupe Eguiluz

$238 Vol.

4%

icon for Manuel Añorve Baños

Manuel Añorve Baños

$335 Vol.

4%

icon for Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña

Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña

$233 Vol.

3%

icon for Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros

Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros

$4,047 Vol.

3%

icon for Eloy Salmerón Díaz

Eloy Salmerón Díaz

$291 Vol.

2%

icon for Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz

Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz

$235 Vol.

1%

icon for Javier Saldaña Almazán

Javier Saldaña Almazán

$248 Vol.

1%

icon for Iván Hernández Díaz

Iván Hernández Díaz

$258 Vol.

1%

icon for Rogelio Ortega Martínez

Rogelio Ortega Martínez

$278 Vol.

1%

icon for Erika Lorena Lührs

Erika Lorena Lührs

$246 Vol.

1%

icon for Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos

Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos

$255 Vol.

1%

icon for Alberto López Rosas

Alberto López Rosas

$276 Vol.

1%

icon for Gustavo Alarcón Herrera

Gustavo Alarcón Herrera

$322 Vol.

1%

icon for Héctor Astudillo Flores

Héctor Astudillo Flores

$303 Vol.

1%

icon for Yesenia Galarza Castro

Yesenia Galarza Castro

$273 Vol.

1%

icon for Julián López Galeana

Julián López Galeana

$288 Vol.

1%

icon for Evodio Velázquez Aguirre

Evodio Velázquez Aguirre

$302 Vol.

<1%

icon for Karen Castrejón Trujillo

Karen Castrejón Trujillo

$254 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Reyes Torres

Carlos Reyes Torres

$239 Vol.

<1%

icon for Abelina López Rodríguez

Abelina López Rodríguez

$366 Vol.

<1%

icon for Félix Salgado Macedonio

Félix Salgado Macedonio

$288 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rubén Cayetano García

Rubén Cayetano García

$293 Vol.

<1%

icon for Genaro Vázquez Flores

Genaro Vázquez Flores

$269 Vol.

<1%

icon for Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez

Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez

$352 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alejandro Bravo Abarca

Alejandro Bravo Abarca

$250 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial race, scheduled for June 6, remains highly fluid with trader probabilities reflecting an open field nearly nine months before voting. Beatriz Mojica Morga leads individual candidates at 45.1% amid her positioning as Morena’s frontrunner after leaving the Senate, internal party surveys showing her ahead in preference polling, and efforts to consolidate support for the nomination. Esthela Damián Peralta follows at 20.2%, while the broader slate of more than two dozen named contenders and “Other” options fragment the remainder. No party nominations are finalized, alliances are still forming, and turnout dynamics or late endorsements could shift momentum ahead of primary processes and the general election.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$21,010
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial race, scheduled for June 6, remains highly fluid with trader probabilities reflecting an open field nearly nine months before voting. Beatriz Mojica Morga leads individual candidates at 45.1% amid her positioning as Morena’s frontrunner after leaving the Senate, internal party surveys showing her ahead in preference polling, and efforts to consolidate support for the nomination. Esthela Damián Peralta follows at 20.2%, while the broader slate of more than two dozen named contenders and “Other” options fragment the remainder. No party nominations are finalized, alliances are still forming, and turnout dynamics or late endorsements could shift momentum ahead of primary processes and the general election.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$21,010
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Guerrero Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 28 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Beatriz Mojica Morga" at 45%, followed by "Esthela Damián Peralta" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Guerrero Governor Election Winner" has generated $21K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Guerrero Governor Election Winner," browse the 28 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Guerrero Governor Election Winner" is "Beatriz Mojica Morga" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Esthela Damián Peralta" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Guerrero Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.