With 26 Republican governors currently holding office against 24 Democrats, 36 states face contests in November 2026, evenly split between the parties. Multiple toss-ups and lean races in Arizona, Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Nevada, Ohio, and Wisconsin create pathways for modest net shifts in either direction, as reflected in the tight trader consensus around 22–25 seats. Recent primary outcomes and rating adjustments, including Iowa moving toward Democratic-leaning territory, underscore the fluid nature of these battlegrounds. National midterm dynamics, candidate recruitment, and state-specific polling could widen probabilities by clarifying likely pickups or holds in the weeks ahead.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<22 30%
22–23 24%
24–25 24%
26–27 18%
$689,375 Vol.
$689,375 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
<22
30%
22–23
24%
24–25
24%
26–27
18%
28–29
3%
30–31
1%
32+
<1%
<22 30%
22–23 24%
24–25 24%
26–27 18%
$689,375 Vol.
$689,375 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
<22
$48,354 Vol.
30%
22–23
$9,282 Vol.
24%
24–25
$32,186 Vol.
24%
26–27
$17,822 Vol.
18%
28–29
$557,810 Vol.
3%
30–31
$8,332 Vol.
1%
32+
$15,589 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.With 26 Republican governors currently holding office against 24 Democrats, 36 states face contests in November 2026, evenly split between the parties. Multiple toss-ups and lean races in Arizona, Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Nevada, Ohio, and Wisconsin create pathways for modest net shifts in either direction, as reflected in the tight trader consensus around 22–25 seats. Recent primary outcomes and rating adjustments, including Iowa moving toward Democratic-leaning territory, underscore the fluid nature of these battlegrounds. National midterm dynamics, candidate recruitment, and state-specific polling could widen probabilities by clarifying likely pickups or holds in the weeks ahead.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Volume
$689,375End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.With 26 Republican governors currently holding office against 24 Democrats, 36 states face contests in November 2026, evenly split between the parties. Multiple toss-ups and lean races in Arizona, Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Nevada, Ohio, and Wisconsin create pathways for modest net shifts in either direction, as reflected in the tight trader consensus around 22–25 seats. Recent primary outcomes and rating adjustments, including Iowa moving toward Democratic-leaning territory, underscore the fluid nature of these battlegrounds. National midterm dynamics, candidate recruitment, and state-specific polling could widen probabilities by clarifying likely pickups or holds in the weeks ahead.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$689,375End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...With 26 Republican governors currently holding office against 24 Democrats, 36 states face contests in November 2026, evenly split between the parties. Multiple toss-ups and lean races in Arizona, Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Nevada, Ohio, and Wisconsin create pathways for modest net shifts in either direction, as reflected in the tight trader consensus around 22–25 seats. Recent primary outcomes and rating adjustments, including Iowa moving toward Democratic-leaning territory, underscore the fluid nature of these battlegrounds. National midterm dynamics, candidate recruitment, and state-specific polling could widen probabilities by clarifying likely pickups or holds in the weeks ahead.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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