Howard Lutnick remains actively engaged as Commerce Secretary, leading recent bilateral talks on tariffs, strategic investments, and shipbuilding cooperation with partners including South Korea and Canada through mid-August 2026. These developments underscore his continued role in executing administration trade priorities under President Trump. Earlier reports of internal friction and Democratic calls for his resignation tied to past Epstein-related testimony have not translated into formal removal steps or shifts in White House support. With roughly four months remaining until the December 31 deadline and no scheduled confirmation hearings or structural changes altering his position, trader consensus reflected in the 73.5% probability on "No" aligns with the absence of verifiable indicators pointing to an imminent departure.