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Kagawa Governor Election Winner

icon for Kagawa Governor Election Winner

Kagawa Governor Election Winner

Toyohito Ikeda 96.8%

Katsunori Sone <1%

Kenichi Tanabe <1%

Fumihiko Senoo <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Toyohito Ikeda 96.8%

Katsunori Sone <1%

Kenichi Tanabe <1%

Fumihiko Senoo <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Toyohito Ikeda

Toyohito Ikeda

$6,641 Vol.

97%

icon for Katsunori Sone

Katsunori Sone

$695 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kenichi Tanabe

Kenichi Tanabe

$1,270 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fumihiko Senoo

Fumihiko Senoo

$475 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kagawa on August 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Kagawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kagawa and Japan, including the Kagawa Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.kagawa.lg.jp/senkyoi/index.html).Toyohito Ikeda, the incumbent Kagawa governor seeking re-election on August 30, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus due to endorsements from a broad coalition including the Liberal Democratic Party, Constitutional Democratic Party, Komeito, and other groups. As a former national ministry official with one term in office, Ikeda benefits from established party networks and visibility in prefectural politics ahead of the short campaign period that began with candidate filings on August 13. The three challengers—IT executive Fumihiko Senoo, Japan Communist Party-backed Kenichi Tanabe, and company employee Katsunori Sone—remain fragmented without comparable institutional support. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen issues could still influence the final vote count, though the current positioning reflects sustained backing for the sitting administration.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kagawa on August 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Kagawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kagawa and Japan, including the Kagawa Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.kagawa.lg.jp/senkyoi/index.html).
Volume
$9,081
End Date
Aug 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:36 PM ET
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kagawa on August 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Kagawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kagawa and Japan, including the Kagawa Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.kagawa.lg.jp/senkyoi/index.html).
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kagawa on August 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Kagawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kagawa and Japan, including the Kagawa Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.kagawa.lg.jp/senkyoi/index.html).Toyohito Ikeda, the incumbent Kagawa governor seeking re-election on August 30, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus due to endorsements from a broad coalition including the Liberal Democratic Party, Constitutional Democratic Party, Komeito, and other groups. As a former national ministry official with one term in office, Ikeda benefits from established party networks and visibility in prefectural politics ahead of the short campaign period that began with candidate filings on August 13. The three challengers—IT executive Fumihiko Senoo, Japan Communist Party-backed Kenichi Tanabe, and company employee Katsunori Sone—remain fragmented without comparable institutional support. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen issues could still influence the final vote count, though the current positioning reflects sustained backing for the sitting administration.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kagawa on August 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Kagawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kagawa and Japan, including the Kagawa Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.kagawa.lg.jp/senkyoi/index.html).
Volume
$9,081
End Date
Aug 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:36 PM ET
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kagawa on August 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Kagawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kagawa and Japan, including the Kagawa Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.kagawa.lg.jp/senkyoi/index.html).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Kagawa Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Toyohito Ikeda" at 97%, followed by "Katsunori Sone" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Kagawa Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Kagawa Governor Election Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kagawa Governor Election Winner" is "Toyohito Ikeda" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Katsunori Sone" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kagawa Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.