Skip to main content
icon for Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner

icon for Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner

Lai Jui-lung 78%

Ko Chih-en 23.0%

Hsu Chih-chieh <1%

Lin Tai-hua <1%

Polymarket

$10,444 Vol.

Lai Jui-lung 78%

Ko Chih-en 23.0%

Hsu Chih-chieh <1%

Lin Tai-hua <1%

Polymarket

$10,444 Vol.

icon for Lai Jui-lung

Lai Jui-lung

$6,166 Vol.

78%

icon for Ko Chih-en

Ko Chih-en

$2,704 Vol.

23%

icon for Hsu Chih-chieh

Hsu Chih-chieh

$430 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lin Tai-hua

Lin Tai-hua

$360 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chiu Yi-ying

Chiu Yi-ying

$380 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chang Ching

Chang Ching

$402 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lai Jui-lung's selection as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee after winning the January 2026 primary has positioned him as the clear frontrunner in trader assessments for the November 28, 2026 Kaohsiung mayoral election. Multiple surveys through mid-2026 show him maintaining substantial leads over Kuomintang nominee Ko Chih-en across districts and demographics, reflecting the DPP's long-standing organizational strength in the city. The low implied probabilities for other listed candidates, including primary contenders Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua, align with their earlier elimination. Traders appear to weigh these primary results and polling trends heavily, while noting that campaign developments or turnout shifts before election day could still influence the final outcome.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$10,444
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lai Jui-lung's selection as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee after winning the January 2026 primary has positioned him as the clear frontrunner in trader assessments for the November 28, 2026 Kaohsiung mayoral election. Multiple surveys through mid-2026 show him maintaining substantial leads over Kuomintang nominee Ko Chih-en across districts and demographics, reflecting the DPP's long-standing organizational strength in the city. The low implied probabilities for other listed candidates, including primary contenders Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua, align with their earlier elimination. Traders appear to weigh these primary results and polling trends heavily, while noting that campaign developments or turnout shifts before election day could still influence the final outcome.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$10,444
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Related

icon for Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?

92%
icon for Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?

Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?

78%
icon for Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?

Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?

90%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lai Jui-lung" at 78%, followed by "Ko Chih-en" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner" has generated $10.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner" is "Lai Jui-lung" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ko Chih-en" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.