**Republican candidates hold an 80.5% implied probability in the 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial election, while Democrats sit at 17.5%.** Term-limited Democratic incumbent Andy Beshear cannot seek a third consecutive term, leaving an open seat in a state that has shifted strongly Republican in federal contests. Early Democratic primary activity features Lt. Gov. Jacqueline Coleman as the polling leader over Rocky Adkins, but the general-election environment favors the GOP. On the Republican side, no major candidate has formally entered, though U.S. Rep. James Comer leads hypothetical primary polling and has drawn endorsements after Secretary of State Michael Adams ruled out a bid. Traders are pricing the structural advantages of an open-seat race in a Republican-leaning state ahead of the May 2027 primaries and November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Nov 2, 2027
Republican
81%
Democrat
18%
NEW
NEW
Nov 2, 2027
Republican
$2,053 Vol.
81%
Democrat
$47 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Republican candidates hold an 80.5% implied probability in the 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial election, while Democrats sit at 17.5%.** Term-limited Democratic incumbent Andy Beshear cannot seek a third consecutive term, leaving an open seat in a state that has shifted strongly Republican in federal contests. Early Democratic primary activity features Lt. Gov. Jacqueline Coleman as the polling leader over Rocky Adkins, but the general-election environment favors the GOP. On the Republican side, no major candidate has formally entered, though U.S. Rep. James Comer leads hypothetical primary polling and has drawn endorsements after Secretary of State Michael Adams ruled out a bid. Traders are pricing the structural advantages of an open-seat race in a Republican-leaning state ahead of the May 2027 primaries and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Volume
$2,100End Date
Nov 2, 2027Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Republican candidates hold an 80.5% implied probability in the 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial election, while Democrats sit at 17.5%.** Term-limited Democratic incumbent Andy Beshear cannot seek a third consecutive term, leaving an open seat in a state that has shifted strongly Republican in federal contests. Early Democratic primary activity features Lt. Gov. Jacqueline Coleman as the polling leader over Rocky Adkins, but the general-election environment favors the GOP. On the Republican side, no major candidate has formally entered, though U.S. Rep. James Comer leads hypothetical primary polling and has drawn endorsements after Secretary of State Michael Adams ruled out a bid. Traders are pricing the structural advantages of an open-seat race in a Republican-leaning state ahead of the May 2027 primaries and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$2,100End Date
Nov 2, 2027Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Republican candidates hold an 80.5% implied probability in the 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial election, while Democrats sit at 17.5%.** Term-limited Democratic incumbent Andy Beshear cannot seek a third consecutive term, leaving an open seat in a state that has shifted strongly Republican in federal contests. Early Democratic primary activity features Lt. Gov. Jacqueline Coleman as the polling leader over Rocky Adkins, but the general-election environment favors the GOP. On the Republican side, no major candidate has formally entered, though U.S. Rep. James Comer leads hypothetical primary polling and has drawn endorsements after Secretary of State Michael Adams ruled out a bid. Traders are pricing the structural advantages of an open-seat race in a Republican-leaning state ahead of the May 2027 primaries and November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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