Mojtaba Khamenei’s limited public output since succeeding his father reflects a consistent pattern of infrequent written statements issued through official channels such as Telegram or khamenei.ir rather than daily social media activity. Recent examples include a single August 30 message on Muslim unity and Gulf policy amid regional tensions, with no verified posts or appearances reported in the immediate run-up to the September 15–22 window. This low baseline frequency aligns with trader consensus favoring under five posts, reinforced by his continued low visibility following reported injury. A major escalation in Iran-related conflicts, a formal policy directive, or scheduled commemoration could prompt additional statements and shift volume modestly higher, though historical precedent shows such interventions remain sporadic.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?
Khamenei # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?
<5 95.2%
5-9 2.9%
15-19 <1%
25-29 <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
<5
95%
5-9
3%
10-14
<1%
15-19
1%
20-24
<1%
25-29
1%
30-34
1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 95.2%
5-9 2.9%
15-19 <1%
25-29 <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
<5
$1,796 Vol.
95%
5-9
$599 Vol.
3%
10-14
$684 Vol.
<1%
15-19
$540 Vol.
1%
20-24
$579 Vol.
<1%
25-29
$489 Vol.
1%
30-34
$489 Vol.
1%
35-39
$314 Vol.
<1%
40-44
$325 Vol.
<1%
45-49
$157 Vol.
<1%
50-54
$344 Vol.
<1%
55-59
$359 Vol.
<1%
60+
$344 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Mojtaba Khamenei’s limited public output since succeeding his father reflects a consistent pattern of infrequent written statements issued through official channels such as Telegram or khamenei.ir rather than daily social media activity. Recent examples include a single August 30 message on Muslim unity and Gulf policy amid regional tensions, with no verified posts or appearances reported in the immediate run-up to the September 15–22 window. This low baseline frequency aligns with trader consensus favoring under five posts, reinforced by his continued low visibility following reported injury. A major escalation in Iran-related conflicts, a formal policy directive, or scheduled commemoration could prompt additional statements and shift volume modestly higher, though historical precedent shows such interventions remain sporadic.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$7,020End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Mojtaba Khamenei’s limited public output since succeeding his father reflects a consistent pattern of infrequent written statements issued through official channels such as Telegram or khamenei.ir rather than daily social media activity. Recent examples include a single August 30 message on Muslim unity and Gulf policy amid regional tensions, with no verified posts or appearances reported in the immediate run-up to the September 15–22 window. This low baseline frequency aligns with trader consensus favoring under five posts, reinforced by his continued low visibility following reported injury. A major escalation in Iran-related conflicts, a formal policy directive, or scheduled commemoration could prompt additional statements and shift volume modestly higher, though historical precedent shows such interventions remain sporadic.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$7,020End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mojtaba Khamenei’s limited public output since succeeding his father reflects a consistent pattern of infrequent written statements issued through official channels such as Telegram or khamenei.ir rather than daily social media activity. Recent examples include a single August 30 message on Muslim unity and Gulf policy amid regional tensions, with no verified posts or appearances reported in the immediate run-up to the September 15–22 window. This low baseline frequency aligns with trader consensus favoring under five posts, reinforced by his continued low visibility following reported injury. A major escalation in Iran-related conflicts, a formal policy directive, or scheduled commemoration could prompt additional statements and shift volume modestly higher, though historical precedent shows such interventions remain sporadic.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions